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Messages - Cain

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1
Hey now, Wilson Fisk was a man of culture with good intentions.

2
Maybe he could have gone if he didn't just throw his umbrella on the ground before getting on Air Force 1 the other week.

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Aneristic Illusions / Re: So Dems might have the Senate
« on: November 10, 2018, 05:10:58 pm »
You all know I like to dunk on Nate Silver as a dweeb who thinks he can understand politics via statistics, instead of some weird and incoherent hybrid of history, economy, political science, behavioral psychology and group dynamics...but a numbers-based approach does have its advantages

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/something-looks-weird-in-broward-county-heres-what-we-know-about-a-possible-florida-recount/

Quote
Unusually, the votes tabulated in Broward County so far exhibit a high rate of something called “undervoting,” or not voting in all the races on the ballot. Countywide, 26,060 fewer votes were cast in the U.S. Senate race than in the governor race.1 Put another way, turnout in the Senate race was 3.7 percent lower than in the gubernatorial race.

Broward County’s undervote rate is way out of line with every other county in Florida, which exhibited, at most, a 0.8-percent difference. (There is one outlier — the sparsely populated Liberty County — where votes cast in the Senate race were 1 percent higher than in the governor race, but there we’re talking about a difference of 26 votes, not more than 26,000, as is the case in Broward.)

To put in perspective what an eye-popping number of undervotes that is, more Broward County residents voted for the down-ballot constitutional offices of chief financial officer and state agriculture commissioner than U.S. Senate — an extremely high-profile election in which $181 million was spent. Generally, the higher the elected office, the less likely voters are to skip it on their ballots. Something sure does seem off in Broward County; we just don’t know what yet.

And here is the graphic:


4
Apple Talk / Re: Open Bar: Drinks are on the Supreme Court
« on: November 09, 2018, 02:54:17 am »
Depending on how this role goes, it may simply be a stopgap measure until I figure out what to do PhD wise.

We'll see.  It does mean not having to dip into the savings to pay for rent though, which is always nice.  Edit: hell, doing my daily commute on the Central Line might be enough to kill my will to live.

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Aneristic Illusions / Re: General Trump hilarity free-for-all thread
« on: November 08, 2018, 10:08:22 pm »
There seems to be a solid legal argument for this:

Quote
If you don’t believe us, then take it from Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas, whom President Trump once called his “favorite” sitting justice. Last year, the Supreme Court examined the question of whether the general counsel of the National Labor Relations Board had been lawfully appointed to his job without Senate confirmation. The Supreme Court held the appointment invalid on a statutory ground.

Justice Thomas agreed with the judgment, but wrote separately to emphasize that even if the statute had allowed the appointment, the Constitution’s Appointments Clause would not have. The officer in question was a principal officer, he concluded. And the public interest protected by the Appointments Clause was a critical one: The Constitution’s drafters, Justice Thomas argued, “recognized the serious risk for abuse and corruption posed by permitting one person to fill every office in the government.” Which is why, he pointed out, the framers provided for advice and consent of the Senate.

What goes for a mere lawyer at the N.L.R.B. goes in spades for the attorney general of the United States, the head of the Justice Department and one of the most important people in the federal government. It is one thing to appoint an acting underling, like an acting solicitor general, a post one of us held. But those officials are always supervised by higher-ups; in the case of the solicitor general, by the attorney general and deputy attorney general, both confirmed by the Senate.

Mr. Whitaker has not been named to some junior post one or two levels below the Justice Department’s top job. He has now been vested with the law enforcement authority of the entire United States government, including the power to supervise Senate-confirmed officials like the deputy attorney general, the solicitor general and all United States attorneys.

We cannot tolerate such an evasion of the Constitution’s very explicit, textually precise design. Senate confirmation exists for a simple, and good, reason. Constitutionally, Matthew Whitaker is a nobody. His job as Mr. Sessions’s chief of staff did not require Senate confirmation. (Yes, he was confirmed as a federal prosecutor in Iowa, in 2004, but President Trump can’t cut and paste that old, lapsed confirmation to today.) For the president to install Mr. Whitaker as our chief law enforcement officer is to betray the entire structure of our charter document.

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Aneristic Illusions / Re: General Trump hilarity free-for-all thread
« on: November 08, 2018, 06:12:24 pm »
Compromise: they're only making some of the fricking frogs gay, and only some children deserve to be locked up in desert prison camps

7
Apple Talk / Re: Obligatory Invisibles TV Show Thread
« on: November 08, 2018, 05:53:46 pm »
Ed Skrein has apparently expressed interest in playing King Mob in the past.  He wouldn't be the worst choice, though there are probably better options I can't think of.

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Aneristic Illusions / Re: General Trump hilarity free-for-all thread
« on: November 08, 2018, 05:46:34 pm »
The doctored footage came from Infowars

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Apple Talk / Re: Open Bar: Drinks are on the Supreme Court
« on: November 08, 2018, 05:11:21 pm »
No more dealing with asshole children, thank god.  Nope, now I'll be dealing with asshole lawyers.

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Apple Talk / Re: Open Bar: Drinks are on the Supreme Court
« on: November 08, 2018, 03:52:00 pm »
Assuming I'm not screwed over on the references front, it appears I have a new job.  Legal research ahoy!

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Apple Talk / Re: Obligatory Invisibles TV Show Thread
« on: November 08, 2018, 02:57:44 pm »
  • If they had done this 20 years ago, they could have had the guy from Right Said Fred play King Mob

12
Aneristic Illusions / Re: General Trump hilarity free-for-all thread
« on: November 08, 2018, 02:19:09 pm »
I have to wonder, what was Trumps original plan, and what is it now?
Plan?  I thought he was just making it up as he went along.

Emo Howard is right, in that a lot of the people around Trump, and probably Trump himself at the start, wanted to use the election to create a new conservative media network.

At some point, probably after Trump won the primary, he started huffing his own farts.  A lot of the people around him did not though, and were still on for the original plan.

Now though...Trump has no clue what he's doing.  He never expected to be in this situation, and he doesn't have the expertise or skill to carry out what he wants (and he refuses to listen to those few around him who do have the experience and skills).

So he lashes out on Twitter, spends time in the Oval Office watching "Fox and Friends" and bitching on his unsecured phone to his remaining friends about how unfair it all is, and does whatever sounds like a good idea from whatever goblin is whispering in his ear that day, whether it's Miller or Bolton or Gorka (Katherine, not Seb).

And of course he wants to stay out of jail.  That's about it.  The masterplan is that there is no masterplan, that Trump is pathologically adverse to planning, or even listening to the advice of people capable of planning.  He just wants to stay out of jail really badly, and whatever poison has been fed to him by the last person speaking to him.

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Aneristic Illusions / Re: General Trump hilarity free-for-all thread
« on: November 08, 2018, 10:52:33 am »
I don't think Adam Schiff as chair of the House Intelligence should be discounted so quickly.  I actually don't think he would stand down even if Pelosi asked him to.

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Aneristic Illusions / Re: General Trump hilarity free-for-all thread
« on: November 08, 2018, 01:08:11 am »
I realise this may be a stupid question, but is there no requirement to be a lawyer to be Attorney-General?

In other news, Nazis got shown around the White House:

Quote
The leader of a white nationalist group whose members marched in the 2017 white supremacist rally in Charlottesville visited the White House on Wednesday, according to pictures he posted online.

Patrick Casey, who heads the group Identity Evropa, posted the pictures to Twitter, in which he is seen posing on the White House grounds on what he described as a visit to “pay my respects.”

“Evropa has landed at the White House!” Casey tweeted.

Three sources familiar with how the Trump White House operates tell The Daily Beast that Casey could not have reached the location directly in front of the White House’s south front by himself or on a common tour. Casey, the sources said, likely would have had to be escorted by a Trump administration staffer wearing an official badge to get that kind of access.

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