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**Literate Chaotic / Re: LessWrongWiki: What the hell are they talking about?**

« **on:**July 15, 2014, 04:55:44 am »

I happen to have two coins.Before I flip either, what's the probability they will turn up the same way? 50%.

wat

Probability they will both flip to heads is .50 x .50. Probability they will both flip to tails is also .50 x .50. Each probability is .25, both probabilities combined is .50.

Essentially you have four conditions:

1. Coin A is heads and coin B is tails .25

2. Coin A is tails and coin B is heads .25

3. Coin A is heads and coin B is heads. .25

4. Coin A is tails and coin B is tails. .25

So you end up with 50% probability of one of each, and 50% probability of two of one.

Oh, the SAME WAY. Reading comprehension issue, don't mind me.