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Messages - Cain

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46
Fortunately, that's the one thing a majority of people can actually agree on with regards to Brexit, that it would be a really bad idea.

Not that it matters, since we're not going to have another election in the next six months, so good luck getting your voice heard.

47
Aneristic Illusions / Re: General Trump hilarity free-for-all thread
« on: October 09, 2018, 02:18:53 pm »
And...Trump's fucking losing it



So the unpaid paid protestors were protesting their lack of payment to the man they were paid to protest against. It just makes sense.

48
Aneristic Illusions / Re: Random News Stories
« on: October 09, 2018, 01:42:47 pm »
It's business as usual in the sense China is cracking down hard.  They've brought their "social credit" system online, whereby citizens are rated as to ther trustworthiness.  Do the right thing...you get cheaper loans, better medical care, better access to higher level jobs.  Do the wrong things...you get penalized financially, maybe dragged off to a detention centre for "re-education".

They're using an extreme version of this in Xinjiang, where they're cracking down heavily on any expressions of Islamic faith.  Uighur citizens already get an automatically lower score than ethnic Han, and these are significantly lowered by, for example, praying, covering one's hair, being a man between 18-45 or having studied overseas.  There are CCTVs with facial recognition programs on every street corner and microphones in most public places.  It's the world's largest open air concentration camp, which is made even worse by the actual concentration camps many Uighur are being taken to for "re-education".  It's estimated between 500,000 and 1 million are currently in these camps, and they are expanding.

Basically, someone in the Politburo watched the final two seasons of Person Of Interest and said "Samaritan, what a brilliant idea!"

49
More on this from the DragosInc CEO

https://twitter.com/robertmlee/status/1049617855396933632?s=21

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I found their technical knowledge to be insufficient in covering these stories. But they also claimed all sorts of anonymous sources - which I honestly assessed that they had and believed - about the situation in the BTC pipeline. The shared unpublished details with me

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They claimed anonymous US intelligence community sources as well. Except I led the ICS threat discovery mission at the time at the NSA. And I had never heard of this attack being a cyber attack. The NSA doesn’t see everything but if the US IC is your source we would have.

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In the end I was left with the assessment that the journalists were entirely well meaning individuals. I thought them to be honest and they did have the anonymous sources they claimed. But their capturing of the technical details and proclivity for conspiracy theories hurt them.

50

51
Well, a lot of the banks are already moving out to Frankfurt or Dublin for their new European headquarters, with quite a few corporations heading to Amsterdam for the low taxes.

The UK has suffered a trade deficit with Europe for years, because the UK economy is primarily geared towards the service economy, which doesn't usually have an overseas component, whereas France and Germany are in the business of producing goods.  And what the EU does sell in the UK is worth far less to their economies than our trade with Europe is worth to ours.

52
Coming so soon after the EU was praising tentative progress in the talks, there is no way this won't be seen as a deliberate snub.  No wonder Germany seems to have washed its hands of the negotiations of late - the UK is being by turns arrogant, petulant and self-destructive.  I'd stay as far away from that as possible too.

It's also going to make any future trade deals much more difficult, promises from Japan nonwithstanding.  We made that deal already about the payments, reneging on it would have the Big Three credit ratings agencies trashing us as an unsafe business environment for the next decade - driving up the cost of what is already irresponsible borrowing by the Tories even further, whilst going through a probable recession. 

53
Aneristic Illusions / Re: Random News Stories
« on: October 08, 2018, 11:02:56 pm »
I'm assuming the implicit signal here of "if you're transgender you're going to die" is a feature and not a bug.

"Sorry kid, all life is sacred and all that but we can't have you potentially raping the real girls, so off to the gym bleachers to get shot at."

54
Apple Talk / Re: Open Bar: Drinks are on the Supreme Court
« on: October 08, 2018, 07:00:46 pm »
Oh yeah, for sure it would be overkill and then some.  But for such a small price difference, I thought I'd mention the option.

55
https://www.standard.co.uk/news/politics/brexit-news-latest-pm-could-refuse-to-sign-39-billion-divorce-settlement-with-eu-if-it-fails-to-give-a3956446.html

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Theresa May today threatened to refuse to sign a £39 billion “divorce” settlement with the EU if it fails to give Britain a “precise” future trade deal within weeks.

The stark warning dramatically dampened expectations of an agreement at next week’s EU summit on Brexit.

It also heightened fears that Brussels may offer Britain only vague guarantees over future trade ties — possibly a document of just 15 to 20 pages — before it quits the European Union in March.

The timing of the Prime Minister’s public demand is also likely to cause alarm that the Government has still not nailed down the type of trade deal on the table.

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57
Aneristic Illusions / Re: Random News Stories
« on: October 07, 2018, 08:05:01 pm »
You asked, LMNO...

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China has confirmed it is holding the missing head of Interpol, Meng Hongwei.

Beijing said he was under investigation by the country's anti-corruption body for unspecified breaches of the law.

Mr Meng, also a vice-minister of public security in China, was reported missing after travelling from the city of Lyon in France, where Interpol is based, to China on 25 September.

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China's National Supervision Commission, which handles corruption cases involving public servants, said Mr Meng was under investigation in a statement on its website.

Mr Meng is the latest high-profile disappearance in China, where a number of top government officials, billionaires and even an A-list celebrity have vanished in recent months.

Earlier this week, actress Fan Bingbing, who disappeared in China in July, emerged with a public apology and a fine of 883 million yuan ($129m; £98.9m) for tax evasion and other offences.

58
Aneristic Illusions / Re: General Trump hilarity free-for-all thread
« on: October 07, 2018, 06:56:01 pm »
This echoes a lot of my feelings

https://www.nybooks.com/articles/2018/10/25/suffocation-of-democracy/

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Today, President Trump seems intent on withdrawing the US from the entire post–World War II structure of interlocking diplomatic, military, and economic agreements and organizations that have preserved peace, stability, and prosperity since 1945. His preference for bilateral relations, conceived as zero-sum rivalries in which he is the dominant player and “wins,” overlaps with the ideological preference of Steve Bannon and the so-called alt-right for the unfettered self-assertion of autonomous, xenophobic nation-states—in short, the pre-1914 international system. That “international anarchy” produced World War I, the Bolshevik Revolution, the Great Depression, the fascist dictatorships, World War II, and the Holocaust, precisely the sort of disasters that the post–World War II international system has for seven decades remarkably avoided.

In threatening trade wars with allies and adversaries alike, Trump justifies increased tariffs on our allies on the specious pretext that countries like Canada are a threat to our national security. He combines his constant disparagement of our democratic allies with open admiration of authoritarians. His naive and narcissistic confidence in his own powers of personal diplomacy and his faith in a handshake with the likes of Vladimir Putin and Kim Jong-un recall the hapless Neville Chamberlain (a man in every other regard different from Trump). Fortunately the US is so embedded in the international order it created after 1945, and the Republican Party and its business supporters are sufficiently alarmed over the threat to free trade, that Trump has not yet completed his agenda of withdrawal, though he has made astounding progress in a very short time.

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Because an ever-shrinking base of support for traditional conservatism made it impossible to carry out their authoritarian revision of the constitution, Hindenburg and the old right ultimately made their deal with Hitler and installed him as chancellor. Thinking that they could ultimately control Hitler while enjoying the benefits of his popular support, the conservatives were initially gratified by the fulfillment of their agenda: intensified rearmament, the outlawing of the Communist Party, the suspension first of freedom of speech, the press, and assembly and then of parliamentary government itself, a purge of the civil service, and the abolition of independent labor unions. Needless to say, the Nazis then proceeded far beyond the goals they shared with their conservative allies, who were powerless to hinder them in any significant way.

If the US has someone whom historians will look back on as the gravedigger of American democracy, it is Mitch McConnell. He stoked the hyperpolarization of American politics to make the Obama presidency as dysfunctional and paralyzed as he possibly could. As with parliamentary gridlock in Weimar, congressional gridlock in the US has diminished respect for democratic norms, allowing McConnell to trample them even more. Nowhere is this vicious circle clearer than in the obliteration of traditional precedents concerning judicial appointments. Systematic obstruction of nominations in Obama’s first term provoked Democrats to scrap the filibuster for all but Supreme Court nominations. Then McConnell’s unprecedented blocking of the Merrick Garland nomination required him in turn to scrap the filibuster for Supreme Court nominations in order to complete the “steal” of Antonin Scalia’s seat and confirm Neil Gorsuch. The extreme politicization of the judicial nomination process is once again on display in the current Kavanaugh hearings.

59
You're right, there is some unresolved weirdness with this story.

The speculation is that this was fed to the reporter by US intelligence, that could explain some of the stuff you noted, how it sounds like they're trying to explai something they don't really understand themselves.

Secondly, I believe Apple was disputing aspects of this story.

Was this maybe leaked to gin up Trump's "cyberwarfare done by China to target me" arguments? 

60
Aneristic Illusions / Re: General Trump hilarity free-for-all thread
« on: October 07, 2018, 09:14:51 am »
Republicans don't give a shit for state rights and never have.  "State rights" only matters to undermine civil rights.

They only care about states' rights when they undermine civil rights, but undermining civil rights is the only non-weed-related context in which states' rights, or indeed the states in general, ever come up.

Who gives a crap though, when you control all 3 branches of the Federal government? You want your decisions to stick, and if you start actually caring for state rights arguments, some liberal states like California or Mass. are going to use it against you.

If you can undermine civil rights at a Federal level, have Congress write them, the President not veto them and the Supreme Court rubber stamp them, do you really want states to start challenging that?  Of course not.  Think about it, FFS.

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