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Another TGRR prophecy comes true.

Started by The Good Reverend Roger, January 22, 2008, 02:55:55 AM

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Cardinal Pizza Deliverance.

Quote from: Doktor Howl on May 25, 2013, 06:47:56 AM
Hey, guys?

Hold onto your ass.

I really hate it when you're right all the time and I haven't yet built up a sufficient supply of toilet paper and matches.
Weevil-Infested Badfun Wrongsex Referee From The 9th Earth
Slick and Deranged Wombat of Manhood Questioning
Hulking Dormouse of Lust and DESPAIR™
Gatling Geyser of Rainbow AIDS

"The only way we can ever change anything is to look in the mirror and find no enemy." - Akala  'Find No Enemy'.

Doktor Howl

Just got an email from my buddy Werner, one of our financial geeks in Germany.

Seems the German banks aren't happy at all about our congress refusing to do anything about this:

http://prospect.org/article/wall-streets-regulatory-rapture

And they're about to do something about it.
Molon Lube

Anna Mae Bollocks

Scantily-Clad Inspector of Gigantic and Unnecessary Cashews, Texas Division

Doktor Howl

Cain, you hearing any buzz about this?  Werner's been wrong before, but he IS the guy that told me to get the fuck out of the market in late 2006.
Molon Lube

Forsooth

#94
Quote from: Doktor Howl on May 25, 2013, 06:52:58 AM
Just got an email from my buddy Werner, one of our financial geeks in Germany.

Seems the German banks aren't happy at all about our congress refusing to do anything about this:

http://prospect.org/article/wall-streets-regulatory-rapture

And they're about to do something about it.

Link wont load for me. The error message mentions too many connections, so maybe it's a server bandwidth thin

I am on my phone though.

Doktor Howl

Quote from: Forsooth on May 25, 2013, 07:14:10 AM
Quote from: Doktor Howl on May 25, 2013, 06:52:58 AM
Just got an email from my buddy Werner, one of our financial geeks in Germany.

Seems the German banks aren't happy at all about our congress refusing to do anything about this:

http://prospect.org/article/wall-streets-regulatory-rapture

And they're about to do something about it.

Link wont load for me. The error message mentions too many connections, so maybe it's a server bandwidth thing

Works fine for me, though a tad slow.
Molon Lube

Doktor Howl

QuoteThe Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) will make official a Wall Street victory today when it announces softened regulation on derivatives trading. After pressure from bank lobbyists, a rule that would have increased competition in the market for derivatives—financial products that derive their value from an underlying asset—could now empower a few big financial institutions to rule that risky space. Ninety percent of the now $700 billion derivatives market that nearly brought down AIG and helped cause the 2008 financial crisis is currently controlled by the five biggest banks, yet derivatives are still traded in largely unregulated shadow markets.

While a provision in the Dodd-Frank financial-reform law was designed to force derivatives onto regulatory platforms resembling public exchanges, implementation was left to the CFTC. Today's approval of the rule helps fulfill that duty, but opponents worry it leaves flexibility for big banks—who held more than 80 meetings with CFTC members over the past 3 years—to return to their "old, opaque way of doing business," according to Marcus Stanley, policy director of Americans for Financial Reform. "If flexibility means it's more beneficial to the banks, so be it," says CFTC member Mark Wetjen. "But it also means it's more flexible to all market participants and the marketplace as a whole."
Molon Lube

Cardinal Pizza Deliverance.

Link worked fine for me, FYI. Hooray for 'old, opaque ways of doing business'.  :horrormirth:
Weevil-Infested Badfun Wrongsex Referee From The 9th Earth
Slick and Deranged Wombat of Manhood Questioning
Hulking Dormouse of Lust and DESPAIR™
Gatling Geyser of Rainbow AIDS

"The only way we can ever change anything is to look in the mirror and find no enemy." - Akala  'Find No Enemy'.

Forsooth

#98
hopefully Germany's announcement is along the lines of, 'Yes, it'd be nice if the global market didn't crash again due to retarded loan practices, but your new regs just make you flexible enough to keep your money while still fucking the littleman in the ass. Stop that.'

Cain

Quote from: Doktor Howl on May 25, 2013, 06:57:43 AM
Cain, you hearing any buzz about this?  Werner's been wrong before, but he IS the guy that told me to get the fuck out of the market in late 2006.

Bits and pieces.  My German is rusty, though, and I dont trust German banks whining about regulatory capture.  What worries them is their share of the regulatory capture, would be my suspicion.

Which may amount to the same thing when looking at their initial actions.

As far as I can see internationally, the following is happening:

Shinzo Abe caused the Japanese markets to collectively shit themselves.  Somehow.  No-one's quite sure how, which means no-one knows how to read the 7% drop in the Nikkei, especially in light of its recent, extraordinary growth (about 45% overall in the past 5 months).  Ambrose Evans-Pritchard is getting apocalyptic however, which is rarely a good sign.

The Fed is stopping QE.  This has investors worried as hell, because the Fed cannot control rates when investors start dumping bonds.  Mortgage rates are rising as a consequence of the Fed's statement, which is harming the US "housing recovery", such as it is.  However, the Fed is committed to this course of action due to the mostly illusionary "recovery" which it commits itself to seeing in the data. 

Europe is a fucking mess, part eleventy gajillion of a never ending series of suck and fail.

Obama is trying to finalize the TPP and USA-EU trade deals, both of which will tie the US economy even more closely with European and Pacific happenings.

Doktor Howl

Quote from: Cain on May 25, 2013, 03:19:18 PM
Quote from: Doktor Howl on May 25, 2013, 06:57:43 AM
Cain, you hearing any buzz about this?  Werner's been wrong before, but he IS the guy that told me to get the fuck out of the market in late 2006.

Bits and pieces.  My German is rusty, though, and I dont trust German banks whining about regulatory capture.  What worries them is their share of the regulatory capture, would be my suspicion.

Which may amount to the same thing when looking at their initial actions.

As far as I can see internationally, the following is happening:

Shinzo Abe caused the Japanese markets to collectively shit themselves.  Somehow.  No-one's quite sure how, which means no-one knows how to read the 7% drop in the Nikkei, especially in light of its recent, extraordinary growth (about 45% overall in the past 5 months).  Ambrose Evans-Pritchard is getting apocalyptic however, which is rarely a good sign.

The Fed is stopping QE.  This has investors worried as hell, because the Fed cannot control rates when investors start dumping bonds.  Mortgage rates are rising as a consequence of the Fed's statement, which is harming the US "housing recovery", such as it is.  However, the Fed is committed to this course of action due to the mostly illusionary "recovery" which it commits itself to seeing in the data. 

Europe is a fucking mess, part eleventy gajillion of a never ending series of suck and fail.

Obama is trying to finalize the TPP and USA-EU trade deals, both of which will tie the US economy even more closely with European and Pacific happenings.

Hello, Mr Neck.  I'm Mr Anchor.
Molon Lube

Doktor Howl

I am bumping this thread, and RE-prophecizing that the next, bigger crash will happen before the new year.  Probably in November.

The problems will be:

1.  Same banking fuckery as 2008, only BIGGER,
2.  Brexit fucking 6% of the world's trade in less than one minute, and
3.  Idiot protectionist nationalists try to keep above water by slapping more and more trade restrictions down.
Molon Lube

Fujikoma

Yeeah, time is dwindling, the signs are clear.

Bruno

If it's gonna happen, better sooner than later, especially if it's before the 2020 election
Formerly something else...

Cain

Yup. 2008 was all about buying time by putting bandages on deep, systemic problems.

The bandages got ripped off and everyone ignored the problems. Throw in Brexit, trade wars and whatever may happen in the Middle East and there are problems.