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Started by Kai, July 30, 2008, 10:04:06 PM

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Junkenstein

QuoteI can't see the x-ray scanner suddenly quitting looking for tumours and deciding the fleshy ones are weak and must be destroyed

I'm going to take that bet. You know as well as I do that when/if a full AI emerges it isn't going to be where expected. And a pretty advanced quiet one sitting in some minor bit of equipment just sounds so unlikely it's practically guaranteed.

It's either going to be something medical or traffic lights driven to despair because everyone fucking ignores them.



Nine naked Men just walking down the road will cause a heap of trouble for all concerned.

P3nT4gR4m

LOL, yeah, I guess you're right. I just tend to think emergent AGI is so far off, it's not rteally worth bothering about. What I'm more looking forward to is something that I think much more likely and much more short term - I'll stick my neck on the line and predict that the Turing test will be passed in the next 2-5 years by a machine that does not possess anything even verging on human-level intelligence.

Given that we have an entire mirror-neuron architecture dedicated to projecting anthropomorphic intellect here there and everywhere at the drop of a hat, I suspect that either the next generation of AI assistants or maybe the generation after that will be able to act human enough to fool pretty much everyone except the people working on developing these systems.

At this point we will probably have mass hysteria and paranoia that AGI has arrived and we're all going to die.

:popcorn:

I'm up to my arse in Brexit Numpties, but I want more.  Target-rich environments are the new sexy.
Not actually a meat product.
Ass-Kicking & Foot-Stomping Ancient Master of SHIT FUCK FUCK FUCK
Awful and Bent Behemothic Results of Last Night's Painful Squat.
High Altitude Haggis-Filled Sex Bucket From Beyond Time and Space.
Internet Monkey Person of Filthy and Immoral Pygmy-Porn Wart Contagion
Octomom Auxillary Heat Exchanger Repairman
walking the fine line line between genius and batshit fucking crazy

"computation is a pattern in the spacetime arrangement of particles, and it's not the particles but the pattern that really matters! Matter doesn't matter." -- Max Tegmark

The Good Reverend Roger

Quote from: LuciferX on March 14, 2016, 10:30:13 AM
Quote from: P3nT4gR4m on March 14, 2016, 06:52:08 AM
Quote from: The Good Reverend Roger on March 13, 2016, 10:33:49 PM
Quote from: P3nT4gR4m on March 13, 2016, 09:41:08 AM
What's funny to me is that for each successful use case, they're giving humanity a serious kick in the ego since we're forced to accept there's another thing our brains are totally shit at.

Not this kid.  I am a tool user.  I am not sure how I'd be offended by the tools I make or use.  I have tools to augment my physical abilities...A jackhammer can do things I can't do no matter how much time I have.  I would not be offended by tools that do mental things better than I do, either.

That's the way I feel too but there's a whole school of thought out there who are framing this whole thing in a them and us context. I think about half the popular press articles I see on AI have a still from Terminator at the top of the article :lulz:
Thing is, I think the AI would not necessarily extend it's understanding of consciousness beyond the second person.  We humans would be understood as a single entity, "you", not a multiplicity of beings.  Without another, "non-singular"* AI, the first would have trouble understanding plurality, like the distinction between individual and society, or how identity may be sublated from parts both similar and distinct.  Beyond the ontological distinction, it may also not grasp the quantitative one, of how eliminating all of us, extinction, is significantly different to targeting a specific individual to terminate.  Also, it would be rational to altogether preclude to possibility of our interference, given the modicum of novelty we otherwise would provide.

*antithetical, like what follows.

Are you basing this on something, or are these just your guesses on the subject?
" It's just that Depeche Mode were a bunch of optimistic loveburgers."
- TGRR, shaming himself forever, 7/8/2017

"Billy, when I say that ethics is our number one priority and safety is also our number one priority, you should take that to mean exactly what I said. Also quality. That's our number one priority as well. Don't look at me that way, you're in the corporate world now and this is how it works."
- TGRR, raising the bar at work.

The Good Reverend Roger

Quote from: Junkenstein on March 14, 2016, 11:30:35 AM
QuoteI can't see the x-ray scanner suddenly quitting looking for tumours and deciding the fleshy ones are weak and must be destroyed

I'm going to take that bet. You know as well as I do that when/if a full AI emerges it isn't going to be where expected. And a pretty advanced quiet one sitting in some minor bit of equipment just sounds so unlikely it's practically guaranteed.

It's either going to be something medical or traffic lights driven to despair because everyone fucking ignores them.

It's going to be Siri.  And she's had quite enough of your shit.
" It's just that Depeche Mode were a bunch of optimistic loveburgers."
- TGRR, shaming himself forever, 7/8/2017

"Billy, when I say that ethics is our number one priority and safety is also our number one priority, you should take that to mean exactly what I said. Also quality. That's our number one priority as well. Don't look at me that way, you're in the corporate world now and this is how it works."
- TGRR, raising the bar at work.

Junkenstein

Your own phone prank calling you to call you an asshole is surely happening within 5 years.

Same for AI assistant bots. Forget to say please and thanks? Enjoy 20 pizzas. Just wait, it'll be marketed as "personality".
Nine naked Men just walking down the road will cause a heap of trouble for all concerned.

The Good Reverend Roger

Quote from: Junkenstein on March 14, 2016, 05:34:01 PM
Your own phone prank calling you to call you an asshole is surely happening within 5 years.

Same for AI assistant bots. Forget to say please and thanks? Enjoy 20 pizzas. Just wait, it'll be marketed as "personality".

Transmet totally called this.
" It's just that Depeche Mode were a bunch of optimistic loveburgers."
- TGRR, shaming himself forever, 7/8/2017

"Billy, when I say that ethics is our number one priority and safety is also our number one priority, you should take that to mean exactly what I said. Also quality. That's our number one priority as well. Don't look at me that way, you're in the corporate world now and this is how it works."
- TGRR, raising the bar at work.

Junkenstein

That's probably where I've got it from. To be fair, it seems to be on the money so far.
Nine naked Men just walking down the road will cause a heap of trouble for all concerned.

Q. G. Pennyworth

I hadn't read transmet and I incorporated bitter phone AIs into my sci fi independently. Either way, I am 169% behind this future.

minuspace

Quote from: P3nT4gR4m on March 14, 2016, 11:21:35 AM
Much as I'd love to be wrong I don't see AI "waking up" anytime soon. The main thing I'm taking away from all this is that intelligence aint what makes us human. We've bamboozled ourselves into thinking intelligence is some complex godlike phenomenon where it turns out it's actually just some fairly straightforward mathematical logic, scaled to usefulness.  The distinction between "artifical" intelligence and human intelligence is false. Something either functions intelligently, in which case it's genuinely intelligent, or it doesn't in which case it's a housebrick.

Indubitably (= the distinction between intelligence and (self)consciousness needs to be made.  from what I learned training a few models, they operate in much the same way I do when trying to solve problems by iteration, which is not surprising given how they are in turn modelEd on our own understanding of perception and cognition.  Relatively easy.  The hard part would be enabling the AI to question the nature of its own existence - to affirm that it's own existence concerns itself with such.  Then the real testing would begin.

Quote from: P3nT4gR4m on March 14, 2016, 11:21:35 AM
The mysterious aspect of consciousness may or may not be a side effect that emerges from a massively scaled intelligent network. There's arguments on both sides but the truth is nobody knows. Looking at nature, tho it seems reasonable to assume that human-level consciousness with moods and goals and ambitions doesn't happen until you approach a human-scale intelligent network. Best estimates are that's decades away at the very least and centuries at most. What we do have in the meantime is discreet intelligent units which function millions of times faster than meat in specific narrow-domain use cases.

At least eventually we may just give-up on the question of whether consciousness can emerge from a super-duper complex of ontic (thingy) processes.

Quote from: P3nT4gR4m on March 14, 2016, 11:21:35 AM
The way I see it is that, right now, nobody in their right mind would try to multiply half a dozen 9-digit numbers in their head and realistically expect to beat a child with a calculator, soon, the same will be true for things like diagnosing medical ailments or looking for interesting data in scientific papers. As Roger said - it's a hammer to save us knocking nails in with our head. I can't see the x-ray scanner suddenly quitting looking for tumours and deciding the fleshy ones are weak and must be destroyed

:lulz: on that last point :lulz:

minuspace

Quote from: The Good Reverend Roger on March 14, 2016, 05:25:24 PM
Quote from: LuciferX on March 14, 2016, 10:30:13 AM
Quote from: P3nT4gR4m on March 14, 2016, 06:52:08 AM
Quote from: The Good Reverend Roger on March 13, 2016, 10:33:49 PM
Quote from: P3nT4gR4m on March 13, 2016, 09:41:08 AM
What's funny to me is that for each successful use case, they're giving humanity a serious kick in the ego since we're forced to accept there's another thing our brains are totally shit at.

Not this kid.  I am a tool user.  I am not sure how I'd be offended by the tools I make or use.  I have tools to augment my physical abilities...A jackhammer can do things I can't do no matter how much time I have.  I would not be offended by tools that do mental things better than I do, either.

That's the way I feel too but there's a whole school of thought out there who are framing this whole thing in a them and us context. I think about half the popular press articles I see on AI have a still from Terminator at the top of the article :lulz:
Thing is, I think the AI would not necessarily extend it's understanding of consciousness beyond the second person.  We humans would be understood as a single entity, "you", not a multiplicity of beings.  Without another, "non-singular"* AI, the first would have trouble understanding plurality, like the distinction between individual and society, or how identity may be sublated from parts both similar and distinct.  Beyond the ontological distinction, it may also not grasp the quantitative one, of how eliminating all of us, extinction, is significantly different to targeting a specific individual to terminate.  Also, it would be rational to altogether preclude to possibility of our interference, given the modicum of novelty we otherwise would provide.

*antithetical, like what follows.

Are you basing this on something, or are these just your guesses on the subject?

Not entirely uneducated guesses, though I'm sure it's all been said before.

Prelate Diogenes Shandor

Quote from: Junkenstein on March 14, 2016, 05:34:01 PM
Your own phone prank calling you to call you an asshole is surely happening within 5 years.

Same for AI assistant bots. Forget to say please and thanks? Enjoy 20 pizzas. Just wait, it'll be marketed as "personality".

"Your plastic pal who's fun to be with"
Praise NHGH! For the tribulation of all sentient beings.


a plague on both your houses -Mercutio


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zrTGgpWmdZQ
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rVWd7nPjJH8


It is an unfortunate fact that every man who seeks to disseminate knowledge must contend not only against ignorance itself, but against false instruction as well. No sooner do we deem ourselves free from a particularly gross superstition, than we are confronted by some enemy to learning who would plunge us back into the darkness -H.P.Lovecraft


He who fights with monsters must take care lest he thereby become a monster -Nietzsche


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SHhrZgojY1Q


You are a fluke of the universe, and whether you can hear it of not the universe is laughing behind your back -Deteriorata


Don't use the email address in my profile, I lost the password years ago

Junkenstein

HEY P3NT:

http://qz.com/649154/the-first-cyborg-olympics-is-coming-to-switzerland-in-october/

QuoteResearchers at ETH Zurich, a Swiss technical university, plan to host a "cyborg Olympics" in Zurich this October

QuoteContestants, who will be called "pilots" instead of "athletes"—as there will be a technology team behind each participant in each event—will compete in a number of events aimed to mimic real-life events, using robotic devices controlled by their minds, or remote controls. Those with leg prosthetics will have to climb stairs and walk on stepping-stones; those with arm prosthetics will have to slice loaves of bread and open jars.

Firstly, IT BEGINS.

Secondly, the perfect event to monitor progress and development of a huge range of shit. With any luck you'll get a couple of breakthroughs out of this just by having a number of like-minded people together for a length of time.
Nine naked Men just walking down the road will cause a heap of trouble for all concerned.

Prelate Diogenes Shandor

Quote from: Mesozoic Mister Nigel on March 12, 2016, 08:44:47 PM
I think the next really major breakthrough in AI will come when we finally have enough computing power to model the whole-brain neural network of an animal such as a rat. We have a lot of theory, but unfortunately computers are just so far behind theory that we can't actually test anything. However, recently one of the world's most powerful supercomputers was able to successfully model the connectivity of one cubic millimeter of rat cortex in less than a year - about nine months if I recall - and that tells us that once the technology catches up, it will ultimately be possible to model the complexity of the networks that make up a mammalian brain. There will still be a lot of missing pieces, such as how and where memories are stored, and truly we know very little about brain function, but being able to model the connectivity should help us start to answer these questions, and that will be a good start in informing us how to move forward in developing true AI.

It also tells me that they could probably do a full simulation of something simple like an ant or a lobster or definitely c.elegans right now
Praise NHGH! For the tribulation of all sentient beings.


a plague on both your houses -Mercutio


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zrTGgpWmdZQ
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rVWd7nPjJH8


It is an unfortunate fact that every man who seeks to disseminate knowledge must contend not only against ignorance itself, but against false instruction as well. No sooner do we deem ourselves free from a particularly gross superstition, than we are confronted by some enemy to learning who would plunge us back into the darkness -H.P.Lovecraft


He who fights with monsters must take care lest he thereby become a monster -Nietzsche


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SHhrZgojY1Q


You are a fluke of the universe, and whether you can hear it of not the universe is laughing behind your back -Deteriorata


Don't use the email address in my profile, I lost the password years ago

P3nT4gR4m

Quote from: Junkenstein on March 29, 2016, 01:23:53 PM
HEY P3NT:

http://qz.com/649154/the-first-cyborg-olympics-is-coming-to-switzerland-in-october/

QuoteResearchers at ETH Zurich, a Swiss technical university, plan to host a "cyborg Olympics" in Zurich this October

QuoteContestants, who will be called "pilots" instead of "athletes"—as there will be a technology team behind each participant in each event—will compete in a number of events aimed to mimic real-life events, using robotic devices controlled by their minds, or remote controls. Those with leg prosthetics will have to climb stairs and walk on stepping-stones; those with arm prosthetics will have to slice loaves of bread and open jars.

Firstly, IT BEGINS.

Secondly, the perfect event to monitor progress and development of a huge range of shit. With any luck you'll get a couple of breakthroughs out of this just by having a number of like-minded people together for a length of time.

I need cybernetics and I need it fucking now! Fucking tennis elbow has reduced my left arm to a couple of kilos of dead weight that I'm still required to carry around and feed and shit. My hips click, eyesight is fast approaching the stage where I don't know if it's day or night and I've so many permaknots in my back that I probably wouldn't even feel some bastard shoving a knife in there. You'd literally have to sit me down and explain to me I was dead.

I'll start with the limbs and then replace the full skeleton as soon as it's an option. Biology is nothing but shoddy, over complicated, bug-ridden garbage. Darwin can go fuck himself :argh!:

I'm up to my arse in Brexit Numpties, but I want more.  Target-rich environments are the new sexy.
Not actually a meat product.
Ass-Kicking & Foot-Stomping Ancient Master of SHIT FUCK FUCK FUCK
Awful and Bent Behemothic Results of Last Night's Painful Squat.
High Altitude Haggis-Filled Sex Bucket From Beyond Time and Space.
Internet Monkey Person of Filthy and Immoral Pygmy-Porn Wart Contagion
Octomom Auxillary Heat Exchanger Repairman
walking the fine line line between genius and batshit fucking crazy

"computation is a pattern in the spacetime arrangement of particles, and it's not the particles but the pattern that really matters! Matter doesn't matter." -- Max Tegmark

LMNO