First round SHOULD be an abstain, while we wait for the Discordian to do his thing.
Otherwise, we have a 17% of hitting the right target, an 8.5% chance of hitting the Discordian (and with this low a population base, that means we lose), and 74.5% of fratricide, which we can't afford.
We are not going to get clues from the narrative, as LMNO won't be writing any, so it's on the Discordian.
If the Discordian dies, though, we should start a lynching spree, as it's our only chance at that point.