Bumper stickers we'd like to see

[LMNO]

As titled: I'll go first

MISCARRIAGES HAPPEN

(IN YOUR FACE, HIPPIES WITH "MAGIC HAPPENS" STICKERS )

Also, just pointing out if I were behind a car with this bumper sticker, I'd probably be highly tempted to lay down on the gas pedal. 

Yeah.  That.

Although, I can't really throw stones... Mrs LMNO once came up with a T-Shirt idea that would say, "Rape Happens.  Get over it."  Hey, she thought it was funny.

Bayes Probability Theorem.

why?  not that you need a reason, but in the event you have one?

It's the main part of my new short-term personal savior's teachings.

[The Good Reverend Roger]

Bayes Probability Theorem.

why?  not that you need a reason, but in the event you have one?

You should always have an eye on the probability of Bayes occurring.

[LMNO]

Bayes Probability Theorem.

why?  not that you need a reason, but in the event you have one?

You should always have an eye on the probability of Bayes occurring.

[Triple Zero]

A law of probability that describes the proper way to incorporate new evidence into prior probabilities to form an updated probability estimate. Bayesian rationality takes its name from this theorem, as it is regarded as the foundation of consistent rational reasoning under uncertainty. A.k.a. "Bayes's Theorem" or "Bayes's Rule".

http://wiki.lesswrong.com/wiki/Bayes_theorem
http://yudkowsky.net/rational/bayes

Rational inference on the left end, physical causality on the right end; an equation with mind on one side and reality on the other. 

I'm oddly aroused.

It actually works in practice as well, most automated reasoning systems have Bayesian inference as their basic building blocks.

As does your spamfilter, btw.

[ñͤͣ̄ͦ̌̑͗͊͛͂͗ ̸̨̨̣̺̼̣̜͙͈͕̮̊̈́̈͂͛̽͊ͭ̓͆ͅé ̰̓̓́ͯ́́͞]

A law of probability that describes the proper way to incorporate new evidence into prior probabilities to form an updated probability estimate. Bayesian rationality takes its name from this theorem, as it is regarded as the foundation of consistent rational reasoning under uncertainty. A.k.a. "Bayes's Theorem" or "Bayes's Rule".

http://wiki.lesswrong.com/wiki/Bayes_theorem
http://yudkowsky.net/rational/bayes

Rational inference on the left end, physical causality on the right end; an equation with mind on one side and reality on the other. 

I'm oddly aroused.

It actually works in practice as well, most automated reasoning systems have Bayesian inference as their basic building blocks.

As does your spamfilter, btw.

I don't doubt it, I was serious. I never thought I'd be so titillated about statistics.

I've been looking forward to learning about it in order to deepen my understanding of science, but I had no idea it would capture my attention like it has.

It probably helps that those two links LMNO posted were well written, but still...

[Lies]

As titled: I'll go first

MISCARRIAGES HAPPEN

(IN YOUR FACE, HIPPIES WITH "MAGIC HAPPENS" STICKERS )

Also, just pointing out if I were behind a car with this bumper sticker, I'd probably be highly tempted to lay down on the gas pedal. 

Yeah, I could see why, it would offend the type of people who I wouldn't want to offend who have suffered such a thing in the past... on the other hand, come on, you can't say it isn't a great dig back at those fucking patchouli wearing people who believe in faeries and shit.

Any place you think this *might* be appropriate if not on a car?

[The Good Reverend Roger]

Yeah, I could see why, it would offend the type of people who I wouldn't want to offend who have suffered such a thing in the past... on the other hand, come on, you can't say it isn't a great dig back at those fucking patchouli wearing people who believe in faeries and shit.

Or "magick", for that matter.

[LMNO]

A law of probability that describes the proper way to incorporate new evidence into prior probabilities to form an updated probability estimate. Bayesian rationality takes its name from this theorem, as it is regarded as the foundation of consistent rational reasoning under uncertainty. A.k.a. "Bayes's Theorem" or "Bayes's Rule".

http://wiki.lesswrong.com/wiki/Bayes_theorem
http://yudkowsky.net/rational/bayes

Rational inference on the left end, physical causality on the right end; an equation with mind on one side and reality on the other. 

I'm oddly aroused.

It actually works in practice as well, most automated reasoning systems have Bayesian inference as their basic building blocks.

As does your spamfilter, btw.

I don't doubt it, I was serious. I never thought I'd be so titillated about statistics.

I've been looking forward to learning about it in order to deepen my understanding of science, but I had no idea it would capture my attention like it has.

It probably helps that those two links LMNO posted were well written, but still...

I believe Cain took the time to compile the Sequences those links came from. If you ask nicely, he may provide. I've been reading those sequences for the past few months. Inspiring stuff.

[Jenne]

...I'm just glad there's a name to something I've always thought about but never gave actual WORDS and meaning to before.  And it's READABLE.  Which a lot of shit like this just isn't.

[LMNO]

It's what I thought was possible, but didn't have the skills. A mathematical representation of Maybe Logic.

He may be dead, and I may have killed him, but I wonder what RAW would have done with Bayes if he were made more aware.

[The Good Reverend Roger]

It's what I thought was possible, but didn't have the skills. A mathematical representation of Maybe Logic.

He may be dead, and I may have killed him, but I wonder what RAW would have done with Bayes if he were made more aware.

We'll probably never know.

[Lies]

It's what I thought was possible, but didn't have the skills. A mathematical representation of Maybe Logic.

He may be dead, and I may have killed him, but I wonder what RAW would have done with Bayes if he were made more aware.

We'll probably never know.

[LMNO]

It's what I thought was possible, but didn't have the skills. A mathematical representation of Maybe Logic.

He may be dead, and I may have killed him, but I wonder what RAW would have done with Bayes if he were made more aware.

We'll probably never know.

I feel like this is a scene from a John Wayne movie, or the A-Team.

[Golden Applesauce]

Back to bumper stickers:

"If you can read this, you're a member of the WORLD ELITE."

[Mesozoic Mister Nigel]

P(A|B) = P(B|A) P(A)
                  P(B)

I want this.