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Why is it so hard?

Started by Mesozoic Mister Nigel, September 27, 2012, 05:28:51 PM

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Mesozoic Mister Nigel

"I'm guessing it was January 2007, a meeting in Bethesda, we got a bag of bees and just started smashing them on the desk," Charles Wick said. "It was very complicated."


LMNO

There is the potential that, when dealing with lesser apes, if you admit that you are wrong, that will spread to other things you've said and done and will say, and you will never be trusted again, or, at least, what you say will constantly be questioned, and doubted.


LMNO
-is rapidly using up the limited supply of commas in this world.

The Good Reverend Roger

Mike the Engineer frequently declares what a given problem is being caused by.  When facts prove him wrong, he will begin bending the facts into pretzels to avoid being wrong.

As a result, we all know he's a dumbass.

By contrast, Russel, our new wet-behind-the-ears engineer says things like "what kind of tests can we do to isolate the problem?", or "I think it's A, not B, but let's test and find out."...Evidence shows B, he then says "Okay, I was wrong, it's B.  How do we fix B?".

As a result, we all know he's a genius.
" It's just that Depeche Mode were a bunch of optimistic loveburgers."
- TGRR, shaming himself forever, 7/8/2017

"Billy, when I say that ethics is our number one priority and safety is also our number one priority, you should take that to mean exactly what I said. Also quality. That's our number one priority as well. Don't look at me that way, you're in the corporate world now and this is how it works."
- TGRR, raising the bar at work.

The Good Reverend Roger

Quote from: LMNO, PhD (life continues) on September 27, 2012, 06:29:11 PM
There is the potential that, when dealing with lesser apes, if you admit that you are wrong, that will spread to other things you've said and done and will say, and you will never be trusted again, or, at least, what you say will constantly be questioned, and doubted.


LMNO
-is rapidly using up the limited supply of commas in this world.

Fuck the lesser apes.
" It's just that Depeche Mode were a bunch of optimistic loveburgers."
- TGRR, shaming himself forever, 7/8/2017

"Billy, when I say that ethics is our number one priority and safety is also our number one priority, you should take that to mean exactly what I said. Also quality. That's our number one priority as well. Don't look at me that way, you're in the corporate world now and this is how it works."
- TGRR, raising the bar at work.

Mesozoic Mister Nigel

Quote from: LMNO, PhD (life continues) on September 27, 2012, 06:29:11 PM
There is the potential that, when dealing with lesser apes, if you admit that you are wrong, that will spread to other things you've said and done and will say, and you will never be trusted again, or, at least, what you say will constantly be questioned, and doubted.


LMNO
-is rapidly using up the limited supply of commas in this world.

Never had that happen yet. But I imagine that could be one of the fears that drives digging in and screeching.
"I'm guessing it was January 2007, a meeting in Bethesda, we got a bag of bees and just started smashing them on the desk," Charles Wick said. "It was very complicated."


Mesozoic Mister Nigel

Quote from: The Good Reverend Roger on September 27, 2012, 06:29:17 PM
Mike the Engineer frequently declares what a given problem is being caused by.  When facts prove him wrong, he will begin bending the facts into pretzels to avoid being wrong.

As a result, we all know he's a dumbass.

By contrast, Russel, our new wet-behind-the-ears engineer says things like "what kind of tests can we do to isolate the problem?", or "I think it's A, not B, but let's test and find out."...Evidence shows B, he then says "Okay, I was wrong, it's B.  How do we fix B?".

As a result, we all know he's a genius.

And yep.

Sort of an extension of the Dunning/Kruger Effect.
"I'm guessing it was January 2007, a meeting in Bethesda, we got a bag of bees and just started smashing them on the desk," Charles Wick said. "It was very complicated."


The Good Reverend Roger

Quote from: A Very Hairy Monkey In An Ill-Fitting Tunic on September 27, 2012, 06:35:10 PM
Quote from: The Good Reverend Roger on September 27, 2012, 06:29:17 PM
Mike the Engineer frequently declares what a given problem is being caused by.  When facts prove him wrong, he will begin bending the facts into pretzels to avoid being wrong.

As a result, we all know he's a dumbass.

By contrast, Russel, our new wet-behind-the-ears engineer says things like "what kind of tests can we do to isolate the problem?", or "I think it's A, not B, but let's test and find out."...Evidence shows B, he then says "Okay, I was wrong, it's B.  How do we fix B?".

As a result, we all know he's a genius.

And yep.

Sort of an extension of the Dunning/Kruger Effect.

Sort of.  The attitude of the crew is positive toward the guy who questions his ideas, and then changes them if they're wrong.  The attitude toward the guy who takes being wrong as a slam against his genius and digs his heels in is extremely negative.

Russel just got his degree.  Mike has been doing this for 35 years.

Russel is the better engineer.  Experience is good, but not as important as the ability to think.
" It's just that Depeche Mode were a bunch of optimistic loveburgers."
- TGRR, shaming himself forever, 7/8/2017

"Billy, when I say that ethics is our number one priority and safety is also our number one priority, you should take that to mean exactly what I said. Also quality. That's our number one priority as well. Don't look at me that way, you're in the corporate world now and this is how it works."
- TGRR, raising the bar at work.

P3nT4gR4m

All our greatest heroes were convinced they were right and stuck to their guns when all around them was wrong.

All of our greatest dickheads did exactly the same thing.

It's a crapshoot  :lol:

I'm up to my arse in Brexit Numpties, but I want more.  Target-rich environments are the new sexy.
Not actually a meat product.
Ass-Kicking & Foot-Stomping Ancient Master of SHIT FUCK FUCK FUCK
Awful and Bent Behemothic Results of Last Night's Painful Squat.
High Altitude Haggis-Filled Sex Bucket From Beyond Time and Space.
Internet Monkey Person of Filthy and Immoral Pygmy-Porn Wart Contagion
Octomom Auxillary Heat Exchanger Repairman
walking the fine line line between genius and batshit fucking crazy

"computation is a pattern in the spacetime arrangement of particles, and it's not the particles but the pattern that really matters! Matter doesn't matter." -- Max Tegmark

Mesozoic Mister Nigel

I don't think it's a crapshoot, and I intend to prove it.
"I'm guessing it was January 2007, a meeting in Bethesda, we got a bag of bees and just started smashing them on the desk," Charles Wick said. "It was very complicated."


P3nT4gR4m

Quote from: A Very Hairy Monkey In An Ill-Fitting Tunic on September 28, 2012, 07:17:33 AM
I don't think it's a crapshoot, and I intend to prove it.

Was kind of a joke but, at the same time, I wonder if some of the greats just lucked into being right and, if it'd turned out they was wrong, would have stuck to their guns regardless.

I totally agree that the ability to accept being wrong makes you much more powerful. Seems to be whether you have something (ego/financial/status) invested in being right or if you can shuck that shit and focus on the end objective, using what you know about the problem as a working model, subject to change, until you get there.

I'm up to my arse in Brexit Numpties, but I want more.  Target-rich environments are the new sexy.
Not actually a meat product.
Ass-Kicking & Foot-Stomping Ancient Master of SHIT FUCK FUCK FUCK
Awful and Bent Behemothic Results of Last Night's Painful Squat.
High Altitude Haggis-Filled Sex Bucket From Beyond Time and Space.
Internet Monkey Person of Filthy and Immoral Pygmy-Porn Wart Contagion
Octomom Auxillary Heat Exchanger Repairman
walking the fine line line between genius and batshit fucking crazy

"computation is a pattern in the spacetime arrangement of particles, and it's not the particles but the pattern that really matters! Matter doesn't matter." -- Max Tegmark

Phox

Quote from: P3nT4gR4m on September 28, 2012, 09:50:54 AM
Quote from: A Very Hairy Monkey In An Ill-Fitting Tunic on September 28, 2012, 07:17:33 AM
I don't think it's a crapshoot, and I intend to prove it.

Was kind of a joke but, at the same time, I wonder if some of the greats just lucked into being right and, if it'd turned out they was wrong, would have stuck to their guns regardless.

I totally agree that the ability to accept being wrong makes you much more powerful. Seems to be whether you have something (ego/financial/status) invested in being right or if you can shuck that shit and focus on the end objective, using what you know about the problem as a working model, subject to change, until you get there.
I've been thinking about this, and I would imagine that you would be able to figure out which of the "modern era greats" at least, would or would not do so. I guess it depends on to whom you refer, but a great many probably have all sorts of private correspondence revealed to the world these days.

Mesozoic Mister Nigel

Today my psych prof was talking about the common critical thinking error of refusing to expose oneself to opposing arguments, and I to ask her a question about the neurology of the resistance to being wrong; she's going to see if there are any research papers on the topic for me to read.

In the meantime there's also my favorite, the crazy wrongness lady (neither crazy nor wrong):

http://www.ted.com/talks/kathryn_schulz_on_being_wrong.html
"I'm guessing it was January 2007, a meeting in Bethesda, we got a bag of bees and just started smashing them on the desk," Charles Wick said. "It was very complicated."


Mesozoic Mister Nigel

(Now that you're on TED anyway, look up Brene Brown, the vulnerability and shame lady. She's awesome!)
"I'm guessing it was January 2007, a meeting in Bethesda, we got a bag of bees and just started smashing them on the desk," Charles Wick said. "It was very complicated."


Bebek Sincap Ratatosk

Roger, if you post your content to the blog forum, it won't get rolled over by the crap (well it will in the forum view, but not in the Aggregator view).

As for the OP, I think we've hit on several of the points already.

If you say that you're wrong, western society has tied the admission to "failure" and most people don't want to be perceived as failures. Further, if we consider reality tunnels/grids/BIP's the "wrong" may well appear right to the individual (depending on the objective nature of the debate). Libertarians might be "wrong" in an argument, but only if you accept certain assumptions. Sometimes too, especially on the Internet, mis-communication plays a big part. Someone may be trying to argue X, but appear to be arguing X^y and thus a refutation of X^y doesn't (in their mind) make them incorrect.

There is also the idea of "communication only being possible between equals". If both people in a debate see each other as equals, then admitting that you're wrong tends to happen more frequently. If the two people don't see each other as equals, then territorial circuits kick in and excretions are deposited to mark territory. Roger's example with the engineers in his department tend to match my experiences in work as well... the individuals that see themselves as part of a equal team rarely have a problem saying that they were wrong. The individuals that see themselves as 'better' (more experienced, bigger title, etc) may often have more of a problem with admitting that they were wrong.

Dishonest Wanker's point that society has done a poor job of programming our social circuits probably has some merit as well. It seems to underlie both of the points I made.

I suppose it could be seen as "how you play the game". If you play to win no matter what the cost, you're never going to give up a position willingly.
- I don't see race. I just see cars going around in a circle.

"Back in my day, crazy meant something. Now everyone is crazy" - Charlie Manson

The Good Reverend Roger

" It's just that Depeche Mode were a bunch of optimistic loveburgers."
- TGRR, shaming himself forever, 7/8/2017

"Billy, when I say that ethics is our number one priority and safety is also our number one priority, you should take that to mean exactly what I said. Also quality. That's our number one priority as well. Don't look at me that way, you're in the corporate world now and this is how it works."
- TGRR, raising the bar at work.