As titled: I'll go first
MISCARRIAGES HAPPEN
(IN YOUR FACE, HIPPIES WITH "MAGIC HAPPENS" STICKERS :argh!:)
PALIN 2012
The world ends next year anyway.
I "Heart" THE WISDOM CUBE
Also, I will pick the best ones here, if not all of them, and create said bumper stickers and give a copy to each person who suggests one I print.
If there is anyone who *does not want this happen*, just make sure to include it in your post.
P(A|B) = P(B|A) P(A)
P(B)
You can't wake a person
who's pretending to be asleep.
Bayes Probability Theorem.
QuoteA law of probability that describes the proper way to incorporate new evidence into prior probabilities to form an updated probability estimate. Bayesian rationality takes its name from this theorem, as it is regarded as the foundation of consistent rational reasoning under uncertainty. A.k.a. "Bayes's Theorem" or "Bayes's Rule".
http://wiki.lesswrong.com/wiki/Bayes_theorem
http://yudkowsky.net/rational/bayes
QuoteRational inference on the left end, physical causality on the right end; an equation with mind on one side and reality on the other.
Quote from: LMNO, PhD on January 21, 2011, 02:42:25 PM
QuoteA law of probability that describes the proper way to incorporate new evidence into prior probabilities to form an updated probability estimate. Bayesian rationality takes its name from this theorem, as it is regarded as the foundation of consistent rational reasoning under uncertainty. A.k.a. "Bayes's Theorem" or "Bayes's Rule".
http://wiki.lesswrong.com/wiki/Bayes_theorem
http://yudkowsky.net/rational/bayes
QuoteRational inference on the left end, physical causality on the right end; an equation with mind on one side and reality on the other.
I'm oddly aroused.
Quote from: Lies on January 21, 2011, 02:56:02 AM
As titled: I'll go first
MISCARRIAGES HAPPEN
(IN YOUR FACE, HIPPIES WITH "MAGIC HAPPENS" STICKERS :argh!:)
Also, just pointing out if I were behind a car with this bumper sticker, I'd probably be highly tempted to lay down on the gas pedal.
Get the fuck off of my ass
or I will kill you. No shit.
Quote from: LMNO, PhD on January 21, 2011, 02:24:10 PM
Bayes Probability Theorem.
why? not that you need a reason, but in the event you have one?
Quote from: RWHN, MPP on January 21, 2011, 06:54:25 PM
Quote from: Lies on January 21, 2011, 02:56:02 AM
As titled: I'll go first
MISCARRIAGES HAPPEN
(IN YOUR FACE, HIPPIES WITH "MAGIC HAPPENS" STICKERS :argh!:)
Also, just pointing out if I were behind a car with this bumper sticker, I'd probably be highly tempted to lay down on the gas pedal.
Yeah. That.
Although, I can't really throw stones... Mrs LMNO once came up with a T-Shirt idea that would say, "Rape Happens. Get over it." Hey,
she thought it was funny.
Quote from: The Dancing Pickle on January 21, 2011, 06:58:28 PM
Quote from: LMNO, PhD on January 21, 2011, 02:24:10 PM
Bayes Probability Theorem.
why? not that you need a reason, but in the event you have one?
It's the main part of my new short-term personal savior's teachings.
Quote from: The Dancing Pickle on January 21, 2011, 06:58:28 PM
Quote from: LMNO, PhD on January 21, 2011, 02:24:10 PM
Bayes Probability Theorem.
why? not that you need a reason, but in the event you have one?
You should always have an eye on the probability of Bayes occurring.
Quote from: ☄ · · · N E T · · · ☄ on January 21, 2011, 03:11:02 PM
Quote from: LMNO, PhD on January 21, 2011, 02:42:25 PM
QuoteA law of probability that describes the proper way to incorporate new evidence into prior probabilities to form an updated probability estimate. Bayesian rationality takes its name from this theorem, as it is regarded as the foundation of consistent rational reasoning under uncertainty. A.k.a. "Bayes's Theorem" or "Bayes's Rule".
http://wiki.lesswrong.com/wiki/Bayes_theorem
http://yudkowsky.net/rational/bayes
QuoteRational inference on the left end, physical causality on the right end; an equation with mind on one side and reality on the other.
I'm oddly aroused.
It actually works in practice as well, most automated reasoning systems have Bayesian inference as their basic building blocks.
As does your spamfilter, btw.
Quote from: Triple Zero on January 22, 2011, 12:57:42 AM
Quote from: ☄ · · · N E T · · · ☄ on January 21, 2011, 03:11:02 PM
Quote from: LMNO, PhD on January 21, 2011, 02:42:25 PM
QuoteA law of probability that describes the proper way to incorporate new evidence into prior probabilities to form an updated probability estimate. Bayesian rationality takes its name from this theorem, as it is regarded as the foundation of consistent rational reasoning under uncertainty. A.k.a. "Bayes's Theorem" or "Bayes's Rule".
http://wiki.lesswrong.com/wiki/Bayes_theorem
http://yudkowsky.net/rational/bayes
QuoteRational inference on the left end, physical causality on the right end; an equation with mind on one side and reality on the other.
I'm oddly aroused.
It actually works in practice as well, most automated reasoning systems have Bayesian inference as their basic building blocks.
As does your spamfilter, btw.
I don't doubt it, I was serious. I never thought I'd be so titillated about statistics.
I've been looking forward to learning about it in order to deepen my understanding of science, but I had no idea it would capture my attention like it has.
It probably helps that those two links LMNO posted were well written, but still...
Quote from: RWHN, MPP on January 21, 2011, 06:54:25 PM
Quote from: Lies on January 21, 2011, 02:56:02 AM
As titled: I'll go first
MISCARRIAGES HAPPEN
(IN YOUR FACE, HIPPIES WITH "MAGIC HAPPENS" STICKERS :argh!:)
Also, just pointing out if I were behind a car with this bumper sticker, I'd probably be highly tempted to lay down on the gas pedal.
Yeah, I could see why, it would offend the type of people who I wouldn't want to offend who have suffered such a thing in the past... on the other hand, come on, you can't say it isn't a great dig back at those fucking patchouli wearing people who believe in faeries and shit.
Any place you think this *might* be appropriate if not on a car?
Quote from: Lies on January 22, 2011, 02:31:48 AM
Yeah, I could see why, it would offend the type of people who I wouldn't want to offend who have suffered such a thing in the past... on the other hand, come on, you can't say it isn't a great dig back at those fucking patchouli wearing people who believe in faeries and shit.
Or "magick", for that matter.
Quote from: ☄ · · · N E T · · · ☄ on January 22, 2011, 02:27:50 AM
Quote from: Triple Zero on January 22, 2011, 12:57:42 AM
Quote from: ☄ · · · N E T · · · ☄ on January 21, 2011, 03:11:02 PM
Quote from: LMNO, PhD on January 21, 2011, 02:42:25 PM
QuoteA law of probability that describes the proper way to incorporate new evidence into prior probabilities to form an updated probability estimate. Bayesian rationality takes its name from this theorem, as it is regarded as the foundation of consistent rational reasoning under uncertainty. A.k.a. "Bayes's Theorem" or "Bayes's Rule".
http://wiki.lesswrong.com/wiki/Bayes_theorem
http://yudkowsky.net/rational/bayes
QuoteRational inference on the left end, physical causality on the right end; an equation with mind on one side and reality on the other.
I'm oddly aroused.
It actually works in practice as well, most automated reasoning systems have Bayesian inference as their basic building blocks.
As does your spamfilter, btw.
I don't doubt it, I was serious. I never thought I'd be so titillated about statistics.
I've been looking forward to learning about it in order to deepen my understanding of science, but I had no idea it would capture my attention like it has.
It probably helps that those two links LMNO posted were well written, but still...
I believe Cain took the time to compile the Sequences those links came from. If you ask nicely, he may provide. I've been reading those sequences for the past few months. Inspiring stuff.
...I'm just glad there's a name to something I've always thought about but never gave actual WORDS and meaning to before. And it's READABLE. Which a lot of shit like this just isn't.
It's what I thought was possible, but didn't have the skills. A mathematical representation of Maybe Logic.
He may be dead, and I may have killed him, but I wonder what RAW would have done with Bayes if he were made more aware.
Quote from: LMNO, PhD on January 22, 2011, 04:30:33 AM
It's what I thought was possible, but didn't have the skills. A mathematical representation of Maybe Logic.
He may be dead, and I may have killed him, but I wonder what RAW would have done with Bayes if he were made more aware.
We'll probably never know.
Quote from: The Good Reverend Roger on January 22, 2011, 05:22:01 AM
Quote from: LMNO, PhD on January 22, 2011, 04:30:33 AM
It's what I thought was possible, but didn't have the skills. A mathematical representation of Maybe Logic.
He may be dead, and I may have killed him, but I wonder what RAW would have done with Bayes if he were made more aware.
We'll probably never know.
:lulz: :lulz: :lulz:
Quote from: The Good Reverend Roger on January 22, 2011, 05:22:01 AM
Quote from: LMNO, PhD on January 22, 2011, 04:30:33 AM
It's what I thought was possible, but didn't have the skills. A mathematical representation of Maybe Logic.
He may be dead, and I may have killed him, but I wonder what RAW would have done with Bayes if he were made more aware.
We'll probably never know.
I feel like this is a scene from a John Wayne movie, or the A-Team.
Back to bumper stickers:
"If you can read this, you're a member of the WORLD ELITE."