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Messages - LMNO, PhD (life continues)

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Bring and Brag / Music challenge
« on: Yesterday at 07:51:54 pm »
So, I'm doing the RPM Challenge, which is sort of like NaNoWriMo, but for music.

10 Songs, or 35 minutes of music created in February.

Yes, I know I can loop one pattern for 35 minutes.  It may come to that.  I could also record myself snoring and send it through a delay and distortion pedal.  I may do that.

Anyway, I'll keep you updated.

Hm.  You make a good point.  Since it's all so interconnected, it's hard to tell what would happen if you forced a change.

The brain is also prone to bias, fallacy, and scope insensitivity.  I would love to have some assistance in overcoming that.

You know what?  It's just a different goal is all.  Neither approach is wrong.  You seem to be focusing on data collection, I seem to be focusing on data processing.  Either one would be beneficial.

Though I still want life extension.

I'm talking about something that can be constantly running Bayesean priors in the background and give me an accurate probability distribution at an instant.

You're talking about a real-time google app jammed into my brain.  And you say I'm thinking too small?

Perhaps I'm not making my case clear enough.

1% of women at age forty who participate in routine screening have breast cancer.  80% of women with breast cancer will get positive mammographies.  9.6% of women without breast cancer will also get positive mammographies.  A woman in this age group had a positive mammography in a routine screening.  What is the probability that she actually has breast cancer?

Hypothesize a sensor on your kayak that tells you when you're about to attempt something that will kill you.  You're a good kayaker (obviously), so you run into this situation about 1% of the time.  The sensor goes off correctly (you will die if you do this) 80% of the time.  The sensor goes off incorrectly (you won't die) 9.6% of the time.

You're in the water, and the sensor goes off.  What's the probability you'll die if you attempt to take that wave?

Most people get that answer wrong.  I want something in my head that gives me the right answer.

Sounds like a one-sided comfort.  Sucks, but there could be something to learn, there.

To tell the truth, I would love an implant that could accurately calculate probabilities at speed.

Ooohhhhh, shit.  I'm sorry to hear about your friend/more's troubles.  That can really fuck up a person's head.  Here's hoping they get get best possible outcome. 

No unsolicited advice forthcoming.

Meanwhile, the Cosmos reboot was developed by Fox.

Or Kill Me / Re: Autism adhd and rough drafts for forensic.
« on: January 28, 2015, 04:28:54 pm »
E0C's got a point.  The tone of this essay is about two and a half steps from Scientology.

Before I get to the action adventure stuff, I would prefer to have comprehensive Life Extension first.  Repairing old tissue, reinforcing bones, regulating blood pressurepreventing/reversing dementia-- Stuff like that.  Once my extended survival is taken care of, then you can start adding the bells and whistles, like... bells and whistles.

I'm drinking gin and tonics, looking out at the blizzard.  No pants.

Aneristic Illusions / Re: Random News Stories
« on: January 27, 2015, 02:22:03 pm »
What the hell's going on in Argentina?  The secret service assassinated a head prosecutor?

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