« on: Yesterday at 03:48:44 am »
Being completely uneducated on the topic of Ukraine, it would seem to me that Putin has a few reasons for this whole sideshow with Crimea. Obviously the new government in Kiev isn't as friendly to Russia as Putin would like, and the chances that Ukraine tries to get into NATO in the near future are now higher. Putin doesn't like that idea very much, but probably isn't going to go all the way to complete invade and conquer mode over it. Russia is probably more concerned with Crimea for its importance to the Russian navy, so that mostly explains the annexation there. And now with the Russian forces' incursion into Ukrainian territory (flying the flag of Novorossiya no less), they're probably securing a land bridge between Russia and Crimea, and getting all the ugly military and border-drawing business out of the way before ultimately settling down and accepting Ukraine's more pro-Western position. It certainly isn't hurting Putin domestically, and it isn't like the UK or the US are going to start bombing Russian troops over it, so it's more or less safe - a lot safer than it would be to try all this with a member of NATO, anyway.
Ultimately a piece of Ukraine is worth a lot less than military and political stability between Europe, the US, and Russia. So as usual the West will wave their hands and stomp their feet and depending on how long this drags on for, might even send a moderately disapproving letter to Moscow, but nothing else will come of it. I expect all this talk of a Russian invasion of Ukraine to die out, at least in American media, by the end of the year if not a lot sooner. Unless some fool NATO member goes and gets itself involved in a conflict, in which case we might have to kick them out of NATO to avoid making good on the alliance.