There are two novels that can change a bookish fourteen-year old’s life: The Lord of the Rings and Atlas Shrugged. One is a childish fantasy that often engenders a lifelong obsession with its unbelievable heroes, leading to an emotionally stunted, socially crippled adulthood, unable to deal with the real world. The other, of course, involves orcs.
This section allows you to view all posts made by this member. Note that you can only see posts made in areas you currently have access to.
Look, let's just cut all the bullshit and stress and issue everyone with a grenade at around age 5 or so.
Why? Well, in confined school shooting environment I'd trust a grenade to shut shit down faster than any gun. Who's going to try and shoot a classroom full of kids when they know after the first shot they're getting 20 grenades coming their way? No-one, that's who.
It's not just school violence that stops overnight, it's everyone being a dick. Goes away, just like that. Driving like a fool in heavy traffic? Well there's a grenade through the window, you won't be doing that shit again.
It'd make everyone a damn sight more considerate of everyone else. And they to you, because you've got a grenade too.
So here I announce my presidential campaign.
One Person - One Vote - One Grenade.
Suppose that 3% of the population has ADHD.
Suppose that of people with ADHD, 50% of them realize they have ADHD like symptoms and go to a psychiatrist to get checked out.
Suppose that of people without ADHD, 10% of them falsely believe they have ADHD and also go to a psychiatrist to get checked out.
The Conners Continuous Performance Test is a commonly used test that evaluates children for ADHD. It is found to have a sensitivity of 75% and a specificity of 73%. In theory our system is based on faith that a trained psychiatrist can do better than a neuropsychological test; in practice they probably do much worse. Let’s give them the benefit of the doubt and say this is an excellent psychiatrist who outperforms the test handily and has both a sensitivity and specificity of 85%.
We can see that of every 100 people, 3 will have ADHD and 97 won’t. 1.5 true patients and 9.7 false patients will show up for psychiatric evaluation. The psychiatrist will diagnose 1.275 true patients and 1.455 false patients with the condition, and prescribes stimulants according to the diagnosis.
So we have three things that, surprisingly, all happen at once:
1. We have an excellent psychiatrist who outperforms the tests and is right 85% of the time.
2. The majority of people who are on Ritalin, shouldn’t be.
3. The majority of people who should be on Ritalin, aren’t.
Number two sounds a lot like what we mean by “overdiagnosis”, and number three sounds a lot like what we mean by “underdiagnosis”. So even with a pretty good psychiatrist acting honestly, we expect ADHD to be both overdiagnosed and underdiagnosed at the same time.
I dunno... I'm pretty anti-gun, but did you see the hardware those two assholes brought to Columbine? Or have you seen what some people wear to their local Walmart?
If the general population are carrying AK47s, what good is a pistol going to do?
So... Scotland is considering breaking off on its own, but they're still keeping the Queen. What's THAT all about?