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Messages - LMNO, PhD (life continues)

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31
Techmology and Scientism / Re: Regret's Economics thread
« on: June 22, 2015, 07:05:53 pm »
Read.  Paul. Krugman's.  Blog.

He takes on pundits disguised as economists like, every week.  He has also correctly predicted, in advance, much of what has happened up to and during the Great Recession.  With about an 83%-87% success rate.  And he adjusts his models when they don't work.  And he explains his math and models.

http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/?_r=0

32
All I know is that a few people calling themselves Economists made some models and predicted in advance how the economy would behave under certain scenarios, like austerity measures in a liquidity trap. 

The economy behaved as was predicted.  That, for the most part, leads me to think someone knows what they're doing sometimes.

Now, there are other people calling themselves Economists who made theories, and then backed it up with some models, and made predictions, and were wrong.  However, they did not go back and adjust their models to make sense of what happened, but instead doubled down on their theories. 

That, for the most part, leads me to think someone has no idea what they're doing most of the time.

33
This may seem shallow, but you should read Krugman's blog. He creates models and makes predictions based on those models, and then revises those models based upon how accurate those predictions are.


He also talks a lot about economists who elevate politics over theory.

34
Literate Chaotic / Re: Unofficial What are you Reading Thread?
« on: June 21, 2015, 11:37:02 am »
Just wanted to say your screen name is awesome.

Seconded. That's great.

Let me tell you a quick story. A man got got drunk one day and made an account on an internet forum. Made a couple posts and forgot about it. Ages and eons later he had a rough work week, got drunk again and through some fluke of drunk mind-happenings remembered this site he'd went to once or twice. Pulled it up and saw people were kind enough to compliment the screen name he'd made. He then vowed to remember his password somehow and thank them for it. After 15 minutes of frustration he reset the password and started typing this post, got distracted then came back to his computer and started typing again.

Thanks. It was a Steam user name once-upon-a-time.

And to stay on the topic of this thread, I recently started reading "The Chicken Qabalah of Rabbi Lamed Ben Clifford". I don't know why, somebody mentioned it once and I figured I'd give it a read.

That's a very good nuts-and-bolts introduction to the basics of Qabalah.  it almost makes the whole thing coherent, in it's own special way. As in, it has a stable internal logic, whether or not it connects to reality.

36
Principia Discussion / Re: 7-ish years of non-anonymity
« on: June 19, 2015, 05:38:04 pm »
Hey, man!  Welcome back!

37
Literate Chaotic / Re: Five word horror
« on: June 19, 2015, 04:38:49 pm »
We could try poking it.

38
Literate Chaotic / Re: Five word horror
« on: June 19, 2015, 04:10:01 pm »
Thought this was relevant...


40
Literate Chaotic / Re: ITT: Original Story Ideas
« on: June 18, 2015, 09:58:48 pm »
I like it, but it should be like I Am Legend, so the audience thinks he's the protagonist.

41
Oh, cool!  Glad that the second approach worked out!

42
Should I ask exactly what that entails?

At least, is this a good thing or the best of a bad one?

44
Hi, new guy!

If you like Taoism, you'll love The Chao Te Ching.

45
Plus, assholes like me only use Uber Black, as they're licensed livery vehicles with full insurance and regular professional driving jobs, only using Uber for side money. Every Uber horror story I've heard comes from people who used Uber X (what you'd most likely be). 

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