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Indecision 08 Wingnut thread

Started by Cain, June 26, 2008, 05:22:20 PM

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Iason Ouabache

#810
October 28, 2008, 02:35:37 PM
The word "terrorist" is surprisingly lacking from that article too.   :|
You cannot fathom the immensity of the fuck i do not give.
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Jenne

#811
October 28, 2008, 04:54:45 PM Last Edit: October 28, 2008, 06:14:22 PM by Jenne

LMNO

#812
October 28, 2008, 04:59:42 PM
Um.... WEST Hollywood.



You know, Queertown?  if they DIDN'T hang her in effigy, I would be concerned.

Suu

#813
October 28, 2008, 05:08:53 PM
Quote from: Jenne on October 28, 2008, 04:54:45 PM
Effigy of Sarah Palin hanging by noose in Hollyweird...

http://www.latimes.com/news/printedition/california/la-me-palineffigy28-2008oct28,0,3849487.story

Heh

The girl they interview in the video is full of Hollywood win. That is all.
Sovereign Episkopos-Princess Kaousuu; Esq., Battle Nun, Bene Gesserit.
Our Lady of Perpetual Confusion; 1st Church of Discordia

"Add a dab of lavender to milk, leave town with an orange, and pretend you're laughing at it."

Jenne

#814
October 28, 2008, 05:38:41 PM Last Edit: October 28, 2008, 05:44:14 PM by Jenne
I still find the whole notion fucking cool as Hell.  Guess it helps it's Halloween.  :lol:

ETA:  This is the sort of shit that happens at Knott's Scary Farm--they do this live-action show called "The Hanging" where they violently kill pop icons and political figures.  Very entertaining.

Jenne

#815
October 28, 2008, 06:10:00 PM
Seems Reuters is all but calling this election for Obama:

http://www.reuters.com/article/vcCandidateFeed7/idUSTRE49R6GX20081028

QuoteWith one week left in a raging fight for the presidency, Republican John McCain is running out of time and options.

McCain trails Democratic rival Barack Obama in national opinion polls and is struggling to defend about a dozen states won by President George W. Bush in 2004 -- with the number still growing.


Quote"At this point John McCain is climbing Mt. Everest without oxygen," said Chris Kofinis, a Democratic strategist and aide to John Edwards's failed 2008 presidential bid. "The battleground map could not look worse for a Republican."

Iason Ouabache

#816
October 28, 2008, 08:32:28 PM
Quote from: Jenne on October 28, 2008, 06:10:00 PM
Seems Reuters is all but calling this election for Obama:

http://www.reuters.com/article/vcCandidateFeed7/idUSTRE49R6GX20081028

QuoteWith one week left in a raging fight for the presidency, Republican John McCain is running out of time and options.

McCain trails Democratic rival Barack Obama in national opinion polls and is struggling to defend about a dozen states won by President George W. Bush in 2004 -- with the number still growing.


Quote"At this point John McCain is climbing Mt. Everest without oxygen," said Chris Kofinis, a Democratic strategist and aide to John Edwards's failed 2008 presidential bid. "The battleground map could not look worse for a Republican."
From the numbers I've seen all Obama has to do is win the states Kerry won in '04 plus either Ohio or Pennsylvania.  He wins both and it's a boat race.
You cannot fathom the immensity of the fuck i do not give.
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AFK

#817
October 28, 2008, 08:39:43 PM
There are three states to watch.  Virginia, Pennsylvania, and Colorado.  If he wins those 3 states, he wins the election. 
Cynicism is a blank check for failure.

Iason Ouabache

#818
October 28, 2008, 08:45:29 PM
Quote from: Rev. What's-His-Name? on October 28, 2008, 08:39:43 PM
There are three states to watch.  Virginia, Pennsylvania, and Colorado.  If he wins those 3 states, he wins the election. 
I don't know.  Colorado will be an after-thought if Obama wins Ohio and Florida.  If he somehow wins Florida and Indiana then they shouldn't even bother to count the votes west of the Mississippi. This thing could be over very early.
You cannot fathom the immensity of the fuck i do not give.
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AFK

#819
October 28, 2008, 08:48:04 PM
Yes, you're right.  If he does manage to win Ohio and Florida, along with Pennsylvania, Colorado will be moot.  I'm just saying that I think those are his keys to victory.  Because if he wins those three, and doesn't have any surprises in the states that are solidly in his column.  McCain can win Ohio AND Florida and still lose. 
Cynicism is a blank check for failure.

Iason Ouabache

#820
October 28, 2008, 08:57:44 PM
From FiveThirtyEight.com's Scenario Analysis:

Obama loses OH, wins election: 80%
Obama loses OH/FL, wins election: 71.07%
Obama loses OH/FL/PA, wins election: 1.96%
McCain loses OH/FL/PA, wins election: 0%
You cannot fathom the immensity of the fuck i do not give.
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Jenne

#821
October 28, 2008, 09:01:02 PM
The fascination I have with this is where all the usually-Red states like Montana are waffling.  Swing, swing, swing-away from the McCain camp they go.

Jenne

#822
October 28, 2008, 09:02:25 PM
Quote from: Iason Ouabache on October 28, 2008, 08:57:44 PM
From FiveThirtyEight.com's Scenario Analysis:

Obama loses OH, wins election: 80%
Obama loses OH/FL, wins election: 71.07%
Obama loses OH/FL/PA, wins election: 1.96%
McCain loses OH/FL/PA, wins election: 0%

The electoral-vote.com site is awesome for this too.

LMNO

#823
October 28, 2008, 11:38:54 PM
just for shits n giggles, what are the realistic scenarios for a McCain win?

Jenne

#824
October 28, 2008, 11:40:31 PM
Those sites do that--break it down to near-Vegas odds for you.

www.fivethirtyeight.com has it off to the right.  It's called "Scenario Analysis"
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