Werewolf III

[Dimocritus]

wolves can eat twins too you know since only one wolf knows who the twin is

good point. I hadn't thought about it that way.

Ah, fuck critical thinking, LET'S LYNCH SOMEBODY!

[Fredfredly ⊂(◉‿◉)つ]

YOU CANT ITS WOLF EATING TIME

[Dimocritus]

YOU CANT ITS WOLF EATING TIME

Awww.... But I wanted to lynch someone...

[NotPublished]

*descends from the sky riding a hitler space bee.. from the future*

I bear a grave warning! And possibly a question.

If a wolf died, won't the twin die to? Who was the twinnnn



*fades out*

[Fredfredly ⊂(◉‿◉)つ]

only if the twinned wolf dies does the twin die. im guessing lys didnt have a twin since no one else died with him

[Dr. Paes]

If wolves kill Fred/000 then we don't know anything about which of those alive is a wolf and the number of potential wolves remains the same.
If wolves kill someone who is not Fred/000, the number of potential wolves drops.
It is in the interests of the wolves for Fred/000 to be eaten.

It is in the interests of the villagers not to kill Fred/000 unless we have good reason to believe they are a twin, because if we lynch someone else from the list of unknowns we are removing potential wolves. If we focus on killing wolves, less villagers get eaten and we also have a chance to kill the siblings by killing the wolf half of the pair. It is in the villagers interests to focus on killing wolves.

Dimo's suggestion that if one is eaten and the other is not the following night means the other is a wolf is false. A wolf could do this to ensure we lynch a villager while they, at the same time, eat a villager, giving two villager kills over a day/night cycle rather than having a chance of killing a wolf.

tl;dr: We should lynch Dok Howl.

[Fredfredly ⊂(◉‿◉)つ]

 

[Pariah]

2.  Pariah.  I've had a gut feeling about him for a while.

And look where that got us

[Pariah]

Also, I should've warned you guys I turn into an asshole when I play this game.

[Freeky]

Yeah, but you're not dead yet, Pariah.

Also, I think we ought to focus ONLY on catching the wolves right now. When the Twins die, the game will be over, and the wolves will win, if here are any left. So focus on the wolves, and we'll end up getting the twin anyway.

Is good plan, yes?

[Dr. Paes]

Yeah, but you're not dead yet, Pariah.

Also, I think we ought to focus ONLY on catching the wolves right now. When the Twins die, the game will be over, and the wolves will win, if here are any left. So focus on the wolves, and we'll end up getting the twin anyway.

Is good plan, yes?

Why is game over when twins die?
Wolves win with 2:1 ratio.
When twins die, there are a maximum of 2 wolves.
This means any more than 4 villagers and we're still safe, yeah?

Currently 13 living players.
Wolf kills someone tonight. 12 Players left.
Say we kill the twins next. 10 players, two of which are wolves. They have to kill 6 more villagers to end the game, yeah?
Or is my understanding of the rules/maths not quite right?

[Dr. Paes]

OKAY LET'S DO THIS THE EASIEST WAY.
EVERYONE POST ITT WHETHER YOU ARE A WEREWOLF OR NOT AND WE'LL LYNCH THE LIARS.

[Dimocritus]

If wolves kill Fred/000 then we don't know anything about which of those alive is a wolf and the number of potential wolves remains the same.
If wolves kill someone who is not Fred/000, the number of potential wolves drops.
It is in the interests of the wolves for Fred/000 to be eaten.

It is in the interests of the villagers not to kill Fred/000 unless we have good reason to believe they are a twin, because if we lynch someone else from the list of unknowns we are removing potential wolves. If we focus on killing wolves, less villagers get eaten and we also have a chance to kill the siblings by killing the wolf half of the pair. It is in the villagers interests to focus on killing wolves.

Dimo's suggestion that if one is eaten and the other is not the following night means the other is a wolf is false. A wolf could do this to ensure we lynch a villager while they, at the same time, eat a villager, giving two villager kills over a day/night cycle rather than having a chance of killing a wolf.

tl;dr: We should lynch Dok Howl.

Reread my post. That's not what I said. Not saying I wasn't wrong, but that'snot what I said.

[Dr. Paes]

Reread my post. That's not what I said. Not saying I wasn't wrong, but that'snot what I said.

Sorry, replace "wolf" with "twin".

[Rumckle]

Three of these people must be wolves.  We know that while impersonating the psychic, Lysergic said he was SURE Pariah is NOT a wolf, in addition to his odd behavior throughout the thread, making him a prime suspect.

That's what I said before, but you don't listen to me, do you?