Author Topic: So Dems might have the Senate  (Read 1842 times)

Pergamos

  • Deserved It
  • ****
  • Posts: 1184
  • Did it for the cookies.
    • View Profile

LuciferX

  • Metanoia
  • Deserved It
  • ****
  • Posts: 2884
  • fripping moncrey!
    • View Profile
Re: So Dems might have the Senate
« Reply #1 on: November 10, 2018, 04:11:16 am »
That they also called the house so early would give me pause.
Hic Salta?
________
Constant Eso-Opthamologist of Elicited Stopped-Clock Illusions, brings it back, or sinners just repent______

Doktor Howl

  • Hostile Technology Geek
  • One-Armed Jizz Moppers
  • Deserved It
  • **
  • Posts: 34063
  • Horrible Bastard
    • View Profile
"Daisy had syphilis, Tom died of genital warts, and Nick Carroway watched it all in mounting horror, then made off with the silverware and the maid."
~ The Good Reverend

Ecclesiastes 2:14, JACKASS.

Cain

  • Alea iacta est
  • Chekha
  • Deserved It
  • ****
  • Posts: 63240
    • View Profile
Re: So Dems might have the Senate
« Reply #3 on: November 10, 2018, 05:10:58 pm »
You all know I like to dunk on Nate Silver as a dweeb who thinks he can understand politics via statistics, instead of some weird and incoherent hybrid of history, economy, political science, behavioral psychology and group dynamics...but a numbers-based approach does have its advantages

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/something-looks-weird-in-broward-county-heres-what-we-know-about-a-possible-florida-recount/

Quote
Unusually, the votes tabulated in Broward County so far exhibit a high rate of something called “undervoting,” or not voting in all the races on the ballot. Countywide, 26,060 fewer votes were cast in the U.S. Senate race than in the governor race.1 Put another way, turnout in the Senate race was 3.7 percent lower than in the gubernatorial race.

Broward County’s undervote rate is way out of line with every other county in Florida, which exhibited, at most, a 0.8-percent difference. (There is one outlier — the sparsely populated Liberty County — where votes cast in the Senate race were 1 percent higher than in the governor race, but there we’re talking about a difference of 26 votes, not more than 26,000, as is the case in Broward.)

To put in perspective what an eye-popping number of undervotes that is, more Broward County residents voted for the down-ballot constitutional offices of chief financial officer and state agriculture commissioner than U.S. Senate — an extremely high-profile election in which $181 million was spent. Generally, the higher the elected office, the less likely voters are to skip it on their ballots. Something sure does seem off in Broward County; we just don’t know what yet.

And here is the graphic:


LMNO

  • Lubricated and Rabid Lungfish of Impending Sexdoom™
  • Deserved It
  • ****
  • Posts: 62357
  • Internet Fuckweasel of Haunted Pork Dimensions.
    • View Profile
    • Earfatigue Productions: When it has to sound like you give a shit.
Re: So Dems might have the Senate
« Reply #4 on: November 12, 2018, 12:49:19 pm »
Some are saying it's because of a weird ballot layout -- the Senate pick was apparently sort of buried in the lower left corner, which could be easy to miss/skip over.

Even though it's ultimately the voter's responsibility, one could ascribe sneaky voter suppression to it, depending on who approved the layout.

Doktor Howl

  • Hostile Technology Geek
  • One-Armed Jizz Moppers
  • Deserved It
  • **
  • Posts: 34063
  • Horrible Bastard
    • View Profile
Re: So Dems might have the Senate
« Reply #5 on: November 12, 2018, 04:15:31 pm »
Some are saying it's because of a weird ballot layout -- the Senate pick was apparently sort of buried in the lower left corner, which could be easy to miss/skip over.

Even though it's ultimately the voter's responsibility, one could ascribe sneaky voter suppression to it, depending on who approved the layout.

Any ballot that doesn't just have a straight list down the page is automatically a means by which to cheat.
"Daisy had syphilis, Tom died of genital warts, and Nick Carroway watched it all in mounting horror, then made off with the silverware and the maid."
~ The Good Reverend

Ecclesiastes 2:14, JACKASS.