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Re: Coronavirus data and events as they come in

Started by The Wizard Joseph, February 29, 2020, 03:39:29 PM

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Cramulus

yeah... what? the simulation is really coming apart at the seams right now

it's like all the processing power is being used in certain locations, so other places are getting weird

altered

Quote from: Cramulus on May 29, 2020, 02:32:44 PM
yeah... what? the simulation is really coming apart at the seams right now

it's like all the processing power is being used in certain locations, so other places are getting weird

I'm going to say that 2021 is a hoax. We clearly can't make it through the year before they need to shut it all down to re-apply thermal paste to the processor and update the engine. Shit's billions of years behind schedule, and missing countless important security fixes.
"I am that worst of all type of criminal...I cannot bring myself to do what you tell me, because you told me."

There's over 100 of us in this meat-suit. You'd think it runs like a ship, but it's more like a hundred and ten angry ghosts having an old-school QuakeWorld tournament, three people desperately trying to make sure the gamers don't go hungry or soil themselves, and the Facilities manager weeping in the corner as the garbage piles high.

P3nT4gR4m

You telling me all of this is cos of celestial hackers, trying to get god to type in his bank details? Finally, a metaphysics I can get behind! :lulz:

I'm up to my arse in Brexit Numpties, but I want more.  Target-rich environments are the new sexy.
Not actually a meat product.
Ass-Kicking & Foot-Stomping Ancient Master of SHIT FUCK FUCK FUCK
Awful and Bent Behemothic Results of Last Night's Painful Squat.
High Altitude Haggis-Filled Sex Bucket From Beyond Time and Space.
Internet Monkey Person of Filthy and Immoral Pygmy-Porn Wart Contagion
Octomom Auxillary Heat Exchanger Repairman
walking the fine line line between genius and batshit fucking crazy

"computation is a pattern in the spacetime arrangement of particles, and it's not the particles but the pattern that really matters! Matter doesn't matter." -- Max Tegmark

altered

Quote from: P3nT4gR4m on May 30, 2020, 02:11:33 PM
You telling me all of this is cos of celestial hackers, trying to get god to type in his bank details? Finally, a metaphysics I can get behind! :lulz:

Yeah, you know what, it fits my metaphysics, fuck it.
"I am that worst of all type of criminal...I cannot bring myself to do what you tell me, because you told me."

There's over 100 of us in this meat-suit. You'd think it runs like a ship, but it's more like a hundred and ten angry ghosts having an old-school QuakeWorld tournament, three people desperately trying to make sure the gamers don't go hungry or soil themselves, and the Facilities manager weeping in the corner as the garbage piles high.

Suu

Quote from: P3nT4gR4m on May 30, 2020, 02:11:33 PM
You telling me all of this is cos of celestial hackers, trying to get god to type in his bank details? Finally, a metaphysics I can get behind! :lulz:

Leave it to Pent for some proper explanation of all of this shit.
Sovereign Episkopos-Princess Kaousuu; Esq., Battle Nun, Bene Gesserit.
Our Lady of Perpetual Confusion; 1st Church of Discordia

"Add a dab of lavender to milk, leave town with an orange, and pretend you're laughing at it."

altered

Quote from: altered on May 29, 2020, 03:04:42 PM
Quote from: Cramulus on May 29, 2020, 02:32:44 PM
yeah... what? the simulation is really coming apart at the seams right now

it's like all the processing power is being used in certain locations, so other places are getting weird

I'm going to say that 2021 is a hoax. We clearly can't make it through the year before they need to shut it all down to re-apply thermal paste to the processor and update the engine. Shit's billions of years behind schedule, and missing countless important security fixes.

OH MY FUCKING GOD I POSTED THIS YESTERDAY.

Since then we have had CHILD SOLDIERS in Georgia and NYPD running over protestors on camera. TWO precincts taken over by the people, one BURNED. They're going live ammo in Tampa.

This dumb post about a monkey chewing on COVID test samples literally feels like a month old.
"I am that worst of all type of criminal...I cannot bring myself to do what you tell me, because you told me."

There's over 100 of us in this meat-suit. You'd think it runs like a ship, but it's more like a hundred and ten angry ghosts having an old-school QuakeWorld tournament, three people desperately trying to make sure the gamers don't go hungry or soil themselves, and the Facilities manager weeping in the corner as the garbage piles high.

Freeky

Quote from: altered on May 25, 2020, 10:30:49 PM

First COVID case in the US on Jan 21st
https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.nytimes.com/article/coronavirus-timeline.amp.html

So 125 days since infection began in the US. 125/7=~17 weeks of "COVID season".


what if these numbers are short, timewise? i've heard the first covid case wasn't actually the first covid case, it was just the first one on record, but possibly had been in the US since late last year. i honestly have no idea where i got this information - possibly last week tonight, it's one of the few newsy-type things i ingest.

altered

Some what-ifs mean you can't even make educated guesses. That's one of them.

Using the best case data that we have (which the CDC has every reason to give us better if it exists) makes the CDCs numbers unrealistic. If they have reason to believe different, or if they have enough reason to want us to believe different, they can provide data that fits what they're saying.

If there were earlier cases and they knew that but didn't tell anyone, then the paper was released with unverifiable data that looks bad and discredits them.

Consider: There is no obvious reason for them to do that.

That what-if leaves a reality we can make sense of behind in favor of one we can't understand.

If there weren't earlier cases to the best of their knowledge, the data they presented was pure fiction. There is a clear reason for this: covering up how bad it is to push the "back to work, peasants" narrative that, it just so happens, they were pushing.

Occam's razor suggests the latter, because it covers all the available evidence and explains everything. So.
"I am that worst of all type of criminal...I cannot bring myself to do what you tell me, because you told me."

There's over 100 of us in this meat-suit. You'd think it runs like a ship, but it's more like a hundred and ten angry ghosts having an old-school QuakeWorld tournament, three people desperately trying to make sure the gamers don't go hungry or soil themselves, and the Facilities manager weeping in the corner as the garbage piles high.

Freeky

since (again, second- and thirdhand information that i heard from who the fuck knows where) the testing lab in washington state was firmly told to not test for it until someone did it against the instructions given, i would assume that's why they're pinning that as the first case, and the first day, because it's a verifiable instance and not conjecture. but not being able to do anything with this particular what-if makes sense.

Cramulus

The WHO says: turns out asymptomatic carriers are not really spreading the disease. It does happen, but only rarely.

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/06/08/asymptomatic-coronavirus-patients-arent-spreading-new-infections-who-says.html

minuspace


Quote from: Cramulus on June 09, 2020, 02:37:38 PM
The WHO says: turns out asymptomatic carriers are not really spreading the disease. It does happen, but only rarely.

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/06/08/asymptomatic-coronavirus-patients-arent-spreading-new-infections-who-says.html

Because we only get to keep playing "the game" if the WHO does not intend to substantiate its own sense of agency (I'm trying to understand this notion of "Infinite Games," don't mind me)

minuspace

Quote from: P3nT4gR4m on May 30, 2020, 02:11:33 PM
You telling me all of this is cos of celestial hackers, trying to get god to type in his bank details? Finally, a metaphysics I can get behind! :lulz:
:lulz: :lulz: :lulz:
(I had a retort, but John Malkovich unplugged my default network)

Cain

Quote from: Cramulus on June 09, 2020, 02:37:38 PM
The WHO says: turns out asymptomatic carriers are not really spreading the disease. It does happen, but only rarely.

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/06/08/asymptomatic-coronavirus-patients-arent-spreading-new-infections-who-says.html

From what I understand, digging into the details, they mean fully asymptomatic carriers. Which does sound about right.

But the tricky thing with Covid-19 is the long incubation period for symptomatic carriers (who can take up to 12 days to display symptoms) alongside milder cases that are misidentified as cold symptoms, both of whom could be considered asymptomatic but are not really. And those two are, seemingly, just as virulent as ever.

Cain

Obama's former Acting Administrator for CMS has also raised some concerns about this story.

minuspace

I mean, I suppose a fully asymptomatic person probably won't be sneezing and leaking over everything: making the points of contact tracing less effective too.