Rev Roger Heresy #4: Rejecting Malaclypse the Younger.

[Epimetheus]

O SHIT.

Only saw the Monty Python statement, at first glance.

I have a feeling I'll need a good sleep before attempting the rest, which I will have to break up into one line per day.

[Luna]

O SHIT.

Only saw the Monty Python statement, at first glance.

I have a feeling I'll need a good slap before attempting the rest, which I will have to break up into one line per day.

For some reason, that's how I read it, and I was all "WHUT?"

No more PeeDee before coffee.

[Epimetheus]

O SHIT.

Only saw the Monty Python statement, at first glance.

I have a feeling I'll need a good slap before attempting the rest, which I will have to break up into one line per day.

For some reason, that's how I read it, and I was all "WHUT?"

No more PeeDee before coffee.

Preferably with a fish.

[East Coast Hustle]

I wonder what Tao Jones is up to these days?

[Cain]

Last I heard, he was being a militant atheist in Canada

[East Coast Hustle]

He always takes the easy way out. If he had any balls he'd go be a militant atheist in Uganda.

[The Good Reverend Roger]

WHAT THE FUCK IS GOING ON HERE

I couldn't help myself.  I was mesmerized with PTJ being mesmerized with his own greatness.   

[The Good Reverend Roger]

I wonder what Tao Jones is up to these days?

Goes to Germany to get with EvT.

EvT isn't impressed after all.

Moves back to Toronto to preach the gospel of Richard Dawkins.

[Mesozoic Mister Nigel]

WHAT THE FUCK IS GOING ON HERE

I couldn't help myself.  I was mesmerized with PTJ being mesmerized with his own greatness.   

I am astonished by how often Dunning/Kruger Effect crops up. 

[The Good Reverend Roger]

WHAT THE FUCK IS GOING ON HERE

I couldn't help myself.  I was mesmerized with PTJ being mesmerized with his own greatness.   

I am astonished by how often Dunning/Kruger Effect crops up. 

I am beginning to think it is humanity's default position.  If you DON'T have it, you're sick.

[Mesozoic Mister Nigel]

WHAT THE FUCK IS GOING ON HERE

I couldn't help myself.  I was mesmerized with PTJ being mesmerized with his own greatness.   

I am astonished by how often Dunning/Kruger Effect crops up. 

I am beginning to think it is humanity's default position.  If you DON'T have it, you're sick.

I think you just nailed the shit out of it. So then, our challenge becomes... what area am I incompetent in, and don't know it?

[Mesozoic Mister Nigel]

I almost think this could become a really interesting writing project. It definitely ties into the BIP.

[Cain]

Nassim Nicholas Taleb is also big on this concept.

http://blog.bearstrong.net/articles/2007/05/17/lessons-from-the-anti-library.html

Taleb introduces the Hayekian and almost taoistic metaphor of the anti-library: A library of the books you haven't read, of the things you don't know. A massive collection of unknowledge, the anti-library contains all the books that may still change your life. Most of your favourite books are there, hidden and forgotten. It has facts you need to know, authors you'd worship. Only people who read very little can think the anti-library doesn't matter. To book-lovers, and especially generalists like me, who jump all over the place without focus, the stacks of the anti-library loom higher and darker for every book we read. Every book that changes me reminds me of the ones that still might.

The Black Swan is not about unread books as such, but about all the important, life-changing, world-changing information that we don't have. Unknowledge is an unsettling concept. Like the Death of Discworld, our eyes glaze over it and hurriedly find something more comforting to focus on. Taleb asks us to look at it, and acknowledge that it's there, a massive source of wild randomness that will eat your predictions for breakfast, and change your world again, and again, and again. As it has done so often in the past.

The title comes from a classic problem of induction, (it took only the unexpected observation of one black swan to ooverturn centuries of observations of white ones), but I like Taleb's turkey metaphor better: Imagine that you're a turkey. You've eaten well and lived in safety every day of your life. Everything in your experience tells you that tomorrow will be no different. Then Thanksgiving arrives - a Black Swan event.

Taleb also talks about Unknown Unknowns - things we don't know that we don't know about.  For reference there are also known knowns (things we know we know), uknown knowns (things we don't know we know) and known unknowns (variables in weather would fall under this category - we don't know what the weather will be this time next month, but we know it will fall within certain general ranges.  It will not, for example, rain sulphur).

[Cain]

He always takes the easy way out. If he had any balls he'd go be a militant atheist in Uganda.

It's the only way to have fun while doing it.

I think the only kind of militant that could piss of the Canadian government would be a militant Muslim.  Or American.

[Kai]

Nassim Nicholas Taleb is also big on this concept.

http://blog.bearstrong.net/articles/2007/05/17/lessons-from-the-anti-library.html

Taleb introduces the Hayekian and almost taoistic metaphor of the anti-library: A library of the books you haven't read, of the things you don't know. A massive collection of unknowledge, the anti-library contains all the books that may still change your life. Most of your favourite books are there, hidden and forgotten. It has facts you need to know, authors you'd worship. Only people who read very little can think the anti-library doesn't matter. To book-lovers, and especially generalists like me, who jump all over the place without focus, the stacks of the anti-library loom higher and darker for every book we read. Every book that changes me reminds me of the ones that still might.

The Black Swan is not about unread books as such, but about all the important, life-changing, world-changing information that we don't have. Unknowledge is an unsettling concept. Like the Death of Discworld, our eyes glaze over it and hurriedly find something more comforting to focus on. Taleb asks us to look at it, and acknowledge that it's there, a massive source of wild randomness that will eat your predictions for breakfast, and change your world again, and again, and again. As it has done so often in the past.

The title comes from a classic problem of induction, (it took only the unexpected observation of one black swan to ooverturn centuries of observations of white ones), but I like Taleb's turkey metaphor better: Imagine that you're a turkey. You've eaten well and lived in safety every day of your life. Everything in your experience tells you that tomorrow will be no different. Then Thanksgiving arrives - a Black Swan event.

Taleb also talks about Unknown Unknowns - things we don't know that we don't know about.  For reference there are also known knowns (things we know we know), uknown knowns (things we don't know we know) and known unknowns (variables in weather would fall under this category - we don't know what the weather will be this time next month, but we know it will fall within certain general ranges.  It will not, for example, rain sulphur).

I love this concept of the anti-library. What does Taleb suggest to do about it?