Recent posts

#1

Aneristic Illusions / Re: The obsession with control...

Last post by chaotic neutral observer - Yesterday at 04:48:14 PM

Following what I shared in my presentation about our way of looking for order where there is none

I must have missed it.

I know you have a critical mind around here,

Objection, assumes facts not in evidence.

A player misses a pass, the weather shifts, and the whole mathematical model collapses.

Use the wrong tool, get wrong (or meaningless) results.  Use the right tool, get right (ot at least useful) results...but recognize every tool has limitations.

Physics exists, and is very very good at predicting things within its purview, as long as you remember that measurements have error bars.  Also, predicting the behaviour of complex systems that have a high degree of sensitivity to initial conditions is a game for suckers.

#2

Aneristic Illusions / Re: Singularity Now

Last post by Bruno - November 08, 2026, 04:05:19 PM

My company is letting go almost half of it's corporate workforce. I'm just a grunt worker who does things that still require a body, but how much longer until they find a way to replace me as well?

#3

Aneristic Illusions / Re: The Resistance 2.0!

Last post by Bruno - November 08, 2026, 04:00:58 PM

They'll probably do the AI rugpull next year. Collapse the global economy.

Neo-feudalism for everybody.

#4

Aneristic Illusions / Re: The Resistance 2.0!

Last post by Abbot Mythos - November 08, 2026, 06:10:35 AM

Unfortunately, there is a bunch of recently passed legislation that will take effect just as the newly elected democrats take power. The results will not be good.

Republicans will say "Well, well, well. You voted in a bunch of libruls and now look what happened." and a lot of low information voters will probably fall for it.

Agreed. Instant gratification is not in the cards. And, while the oligarchs have multiple modern versions of the Reichsminister of Public Enlightenment and Propaganda at their disposal, the Democratic Party does not. 

Further, I have no reason to believe the Iranians will sign a treaty that does not include hundreds of billions of dollars in war reparations. And, those same instant gratification seeking low information voters will blame the Democratic Party for agreeing to pay what it will cost to end Trump's War. I don't see any easy way out of this dilemma. (Perhaps the least bad option may be to allow the Iranians to collect tolls from the ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz until an acceptable war reparation has been collected.)

The next two years are not going to be a walk in the park for the Democratic Party.

#5

Aneristic Illusions / Re: The Resistance 2.0!

Last post by Bruno - November 07, 2026, 03:56:09 PM

Now that the midterms have passed, I'll probably go back to being a critical asshole about the democrats, since I have strong doubts that they will do a goddamn thing to protect people or rights. At most I think that the dems will not be blatantly stripping them away. I truly hope that I am proven wrong.

We have a perfectly healthy horse. We can beat it all we want.

#6

Aneristic Illusions / Re: The Resistance 2.0!

Last post by Bruno - November 07, 2026, 03:55:17 PM

Yes, I was being unfair there, it doesn't matter what personal reasons people had to vote against the laziest and most insulting of cons, they did do it, hopefully that will hold true again in two years.

Unfortunately, there is a bunch of recently passed legislation that will take effect just as the newly elected democrats take power. The results will not be good.

Republicans will say "Well, well, well. You voted in a bunch of libruls and now look what happened." and a lot of low information voters will probably fall for it.

[Trump Reacts to the Midterms - Downfall parody]

#7

Aneristic Illusions / Re: Political Video Clips

Last post by Abbot Mythos - November 07, 2026, 06:08:53 AM

I'm still celebrating the Midterm Elections.

Trump Reacts to the Midterms - Downfall parody

#8

Aneristic Illusions / Re: The Resistance 2.0!

Last post by DishpitDipshit - November 05, 2026, 09:53:18 PM

 Now that the midterms have passed, I'll probably go back to being a critical asshole about the democrats, since I have strong doubts that they will do a goddamn thing to protect people or rights. At most I think that the dems will not be blatantly stripping them away. I truly hope that I am proven wrong.

#9

Aneristic Illusions / Re: The obsession with control...

Last post by Sean - November 05, 2026, 09:46:03 PM

Thanks in advance for your insights and feedback, I look forward to reading your thoughts on the matter.

#10

Aneristic Illusions / Re: The obsession with control...

Last post by Sean - November 05, 2026, 09:42:09 PM

By the way, the other day I look for how specialists formalize the odds of an event and I happen to land on this page listing current trends, but it mostly makes me realize how much theory fails as soon as a grain of sand gets involved. A player misses a pass, the weather shifts, and the whole mathematical model collapses.
So, I would love for you to share your views and experiences on this. Do you trust predictive calculation systems to guess an outcome, or do you think everything is pure illusion and randomness always wins in the end ?